<As more and more Java applications come out, and the distributed model of application execution starts to set in, Microsoft might just have it's hands full.>
I just took a long stroll up and down Wall Street to find some programmers, and I learned (confirmed) some very inreresting facts. The biggest purchaser of high tech, outside of the high tech sector does not really feel java is worth serious development time. The only ones on Wall Street who really want to push Java is Sun, Every body else is enamored with the new Office Suite and VB5/VBA. I personally would like to use Java (for the same reaon every body else does) but it just doesn't work for high end chores. And on topof that, who makes the best Java development environment? Who has the fasterst implementation of the JVM? MSFT has effectively hedged thier bets, and I'm sure they are still hedging.
<With NT v4.0 they had to make several architectural changes in their execution model to provide the performance they have never had. And they are currently not designed to scale very well. Try to put 200GB of storage and 1GB of RAM in an NT server>
NT 5.0 is coming out in less than a calendar year, which leaves this a moot argument (it gives MSFT just enough time to finish racking up sales in NT 4.0).
<I'm not sure about the dates and capabilities that you are quoting here. I do not believe they will have a full 64-bit rewrite in less than a calander year. And as for shattering price/performance ... I don't know that they ever have!>
You are right, the NT 5.0 is due out in 1998, and 64-bit NT is due out in 1999. But the NT 5.0 looks to be very formidable. AS for Price performance, take a look at NT 4.0 server (IIS3.0, Front Page, etc. bundled), SQL server on multiprocessor 200 mhs PPros trounce the compeition in price/perfromcance (that is why ORCL is tightening up thier ship, they see MSFT coming). MSFT has thier act together, they know what customers want to hear, and they know how to make them hear it (regardless of whether they arae telling the truth or not).
<Yes ... I hate the word doom ... but if Novell doesn't have an impressive release to combat this hype we'll be having more problems in the market! ;-)>
Doom was the most accurate word I can think of. Once MSFT reaches par with NOVL in market share, it will already be too late fo NOVL due to inertia and momentum. If is not the word to be using. I don't want to be pro-MSFT or anti-NOVL, but you arae going up against a very, very aggressive competitor who has one many a fight with inferior taechnology. They are now ramping up with superior solutions and their marketing acumun has improved, not decreased. NOVL has/had a ery val;uable asset, majority market share with a proprietary product, but I am watching it get squandered due to a lack of aggressive mgmt. in the face of Very aggressive mgmt. and the market is accurately pricing the stock accordingly. |
