>>The fact is that a 0.1% victory or a 10% victory still gets you the same office as long as you win in the electoral college. If the state polls tighten significantly because of the polling methods, that would be more worrisome to me. It would appear, though, that Obama's campaign is not taking anything for granted and McCain's campaign, especially with the Powell endorsement of Obama, is running on fumes. Powell's endorsement, as I see it, will help with those who are undecided right now and may help sway some whose support for McCain is very soft right now.<<
Neal -
If was looking at today's map on Electoral Vote.com.
electoral-vote.com
It shows Obama getting a total of 364 Electoral votes to McCain's 181, but with a little figuring, you can see something very interesting.
Give John McCain all the states that are leaning Republican (West Virginia, Montana, and Indiana).
Give him the one tossup, North Dakota.
Give him all the states that are only leaning Democratic, (Ohio, North Carolina, Florida, Missouri, and Nevada).
In that scenario, which at this point seems unlikely, Obama would still win the election, with 286 electoral votes. McCain would have only 252.
And don't forget, Neal, even a slight loss in the popular vote can still net the Presidency.
I'm feeling cautiously optimistic.
- Allen |
