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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: D. Long who wrote (9141)9/24/2003 10:36:29 AM
From: Sam   of 793761
 
Well, of course it is. But as Rumsfeld and Cheney often say (occasionally with justice), it's not possible to say with any exactitude when the ethnic strife will occur. Look it doesn't take a genius to see this. Tocqueville predicted in the 1830s that the US would break apart over the issue of slavery unless something dramatic occurred. Tocqueville wasn't the only one to predict it, and it wasn't especially difficult to predict. But neither he nor the non-geniuses who made the same prediction could say when the break would occur. As it happened, something dramatic did happen, and, as another poster said, Lincoln and his sheer determination and eloquence was the "miracle" which helped to keep the country together back then.

The Iraqis do need a Lincoln. But then, no one saw Lincoln as LINCOLN when he was nominated either, in fact he wasn't even very highly regarded as a leader at the time. He was a compromise candidate who was everyone's "third" choice. He hadn't been in office for so long that he hadn't made any great enemies like Seward and Chase and other better known candidates, so the Republicans became weary at the convention and finally agreed to nominate him. Most of them had no idea of the kind of man he was. They just wanted to get back home.

So if there is an Iraqi Lincoln, we've probably never heard of him yet.
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