9-month cycle
Schedule: 10-, 20-, and 40-week cycles lows starting from Mar 12, 2003
_ cycle tendencies
_ 10-week 20-week 40-week SPX change high low range
Mar 12, 03 start start start 789 none
Apr 7 green green green 880 + 91 905 +116 N.A. N.A.
Apr 29 yellow green green 918 + 38 924 + 44 863 - 17 61
May 22 red yellow green 932 + 14 949 + 31 903 - 15 46
Jun 16 green yellow green 1011 + 79 1011 + 79 927 - 5 84
Jul 8 yellow red yellow 1008 - 3 1015 + 4 962 - 49 53
Jul 31 red red yellow 990 - 18 1015 + 7 976 - 32 39
Aug 25 green green yellow 994 + 4 1011 + 21 961 - 29 50
Sep 16 yellow green yellow 1029 + 35 1032 + 38 983 - 11 49
Oct 9 red yellow red 1039 + 10 1048 + 19 990 - 39 58
Nov 3 green yellow red 1059 + 20 1061 + 22 1018 - 21 43
Nov 25 yellow red red 1035 - 24 1064 + 5 1031 - 28 33
Dec 18 red red red
Schedule: 11-, 22-, and 44-week cycles lows starting from Sep 21, 2001
_ cycle tendencies
_ 11-week 22-week 44-week SPX change high low range
Sep 21, 01 start start start 965 none
Oct 17 green green green 1077 +112 1107 +142 N.A. N.A.
Nov 12 yellow green green 1118 + 41 1135 + 58 1053 - 24 82
Dec 7 red yellow green 1158 + 40 1173 + 55 1118 - 0 55
Jan 4, 02 green yellow green 1172 + 14 1176 + 18 1114 - 44 62
Jan 28 yellow red yellow 1133 - 39 1177 + 5 1117 - 55 60
Feb 22 red red yellow 1090 - 43 1138 + 5 1074 - 59 64
Mar 20 green green yellow 1152 + 62 1174 + 84 1074 - 16 100
Apr 15 yellow green yellow 1102 - 50 1156 + 4 1099 - 53 57
May 10 red yellow red 1055 - 47 1133 + 31 1049 - 53 84
Jun 5 green yellow red 1050 - 5 1106 + 51 1030 - 25 76
Jul 1 yellow red red 968 - 67 1050 + 0 953 - 97 97
Jul 26 red red red 853 -115 993 + 25 775 -193 218
Aug 21 green green green 949 + 96 951 + 98 833 - 20 118
Sep 16 yellow yellow yellow 891 - 58 965 + 16 870 - 79 95
Oct 11 red red red 848 - 55 902 + 11 768 -123 134
Nov 6 green green green 924 + 76 925 + 77 804 - 44 121
Dec 2 yellow green green 934 + 10 954 + 30 872 - 52 82
Dec 27 red yellow yellow 875 - 59 934 + 0 873 - 61 61
Jan 22, 03 green yellow yellow 878 + 3 935 + 60 869 - 6 66
Feb 18 yellow red red 851 - 27 890 + 12 806 - 72 84
Mar 14 red red red 833 - 18 852 + 1 789 - 62 63
Apr 9 green green green 866 + 33 905 + 72 827 - 6 78
May 5 yellow green green 926 + 60 934 + 68 863 - 3 71
May 30 red yellow green 963 + 37 965 + 39 912 - 14 53
Jun 25 green yellow green 975 + 12 1015 + 52 963 NC 52
Jul 21 yellow red yellow 979 + 4 1015 + 40 962 - 13 53
Aug 15 red red yellow 990 + 11 1004 + 25 961 - 18 43
Sep 10 green green yellow 1011 + 21 1032 + 42 983 - 7 49
Oct 6 yellow green yellow 1034 + 23 1040 + 29 990 - 21 50
Oct 31 red yellow red 1051 + 17 1053 + 19 1018 - 16 35
Nov 26 green yellow red 1035 - 16 1064 + 13 1031 - 20 33
Dec 23 yellow red red
Jan 16, 04 red red red
Feb 11 green green green
Mar 8 yellow green green
Apr 2 red yellow yellow
Apr 28 green yellow yellow
May 24 yellow red red
Jun 18 red red red
Jul 14 green green green
Aug 9 yellow green green
Sep 3 red yellow green
Sep 29 green yellow green
Oct 25 yellow red yellow
Nov 19 red red yellow
Dec 15 green green yellow
Jan 10, 05 yellow green yellow
Feb 4 red yellow red
22-week cycle
Sep 17-21, 01 base low 944 next high 1173 on Dec 06 (week 11)
Dec 03-07, 01 11 weeks high 1173 next high 1177 on Jan 07 (week 4)
Feb 18-22, 02 22 weeks trough low 1074 next high 1173 on Mar 11 (week 3)
May 06-10, 02 11 weeks low 1049 next high 1106 on May 17 (week 1)
Jul 22-26, 02 22 weeks trough low 775 next high 965 on Aug 22 (week 4)
Oct 07-11, 02 55 weeks trough low 768 next high 954 on Dec 02 (week 7)
Dec 23-27, 02 11 weeks low 873 next high 935 on Jan 13 (week 2)
Mar 10-14, 03 22 weeks trough low 789 next high 965 on May 30 (week 11)
May 27-30, 03 11 weeks high 965 next high 1015 on Jul 14 (week 7)
Aug 11-15, 03 22 weeks trough flat 990 next high 1053 on Oct 31 (week 11)
Oct 27-31, 03 55 weeks trough high 1051 next high 1064 on Nov 14 (week 2)
Jan 12-16, 04 11 weeks
Mar 29-02, 04 22 weeks trough
Jun 14-18, 04 11 weeks
Aug 30-03, 04 22 weeks trough
Nov 15-19, 04 11 weeks
26-week Dow cycle troughs
Oct 9, 98 Dow 7379
Apr 9, 99 Dow 9826 length 26 weeks
Oct 22, 99 Dow 9884 length 28 weeks
Mar 10, 00 Dow 9611 length 20 weeks
Oct 20, 00 Dow 9571 length 32 weeks
Mar 23, 01 Dow 9106 length 22 weeks
Sep 21, 01 Dow 8062 length 26 weeks
Feb 8, 02 Dow 9580 length 20 weeks
Oct 10, 02 Dow 7197 length 35 weeks
Mar 12, 03 Dow 7416 length 22 weeks
Aug 6, 03 Dow 8997 length 22 weeks
sample size 10 Spring sample 6 Fall sample 4
total 253 weeks total 132 weeks total 121 weeks
average 25 weeks average 22 weeks average 30 weeks
st dev 2 weeks st dev 1 weeks st dev 3 weeks
next approximate Dow trough
Dec 24, 03 20 weeks minimum length in sample
Jan 28, 04 25 weeks average length in sample
Mar 3, 04 30 weeks average length in Fall sample
Mar 24, 04 33 weeks 55-week low
source of dates
timeanddate.com |
