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Politics : Idea Of The Day

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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (9279)	9/10/1997 2:34:00 AM
From: Brian Fukuba	of 50167

Economic calendar: LJR Redbook 0.1% Week of September 8 - September 12 Actual Date Time Release Period Forecast Market Previous 9/08 10:00 Challenger Layoffs Aug 27K N/A 48K 9/08 15:00 Consumer Credit Jul $6.5B 5.0B 0.8B R 9/09 09:00 Mitsubishi Index 09/06 0.4% N/A -0.2% 9/09 10:00 Wholesale Inv Jul -0.6% N/A 1.9% 9/09 10:00 Productivity (Rev) Q2 2.7% N/A 0.6% 9/09 14:55 LJR Redbook 09/06 0.1% N/A 1.0% 9/11 08:30 Initial Claims 09/06 321K N/A 326K 9/11 10:00 Current Account Q2 N/A N/A N/A 9/11 16:30 M2 09/01 N/A N/A $3.8B 9/12 08:30 Retail Sales Aug 0.2% N/A 0.6% 9/12 08:30 Ex-Auto Retail Sal Aug 0.4% N/A 0.5% 9/12 08:30 PPI Aug N/A N/A -0.1% 9/12 08:30 Core PPI Aug N/A N/A -0.1% 9/12 09:00 Atlanta Fed Index Aug N/A N/A 23.3 9/12 10:00 Michigan Sentiment Sep 105.0 N/A 104.4 Redbook Review(from briefing.com) The Johnson Redbook sales index rose 0.1% during the September 6 week. It is too early in the month to say anything about what the index might do in September. Note that Redbook rose 1.0% in August following a 0.3% increase in July and a 1.7% gain in June; it has not posted a decrease since November 1996. In its latest report Redbook noted that a seven-day sales tax moratorium in New York was not expected to distort or particularly boost its index this week (nor was Labor Day, because this year it fell on the same retail-calendar day as last year). A Note on Chain-Store Sales Indices Reference the graph above and note that over the long run the Johnson Redbook sales index tracks the general merchandise portion of the retail sales report reasonably well (the general merchandise category accounts for roughly 13% of all retail sales). We have not been able to discover a similar usefulness in the Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi/Schroders sales index, which generally proves quite volatile from week to week. note: time reporting is Eastern time. This was captured from briefing.com. * Actual #'s R Revised #'s Will try to post #'s as soon as they are released. bri PS Sorry for the late reporting. Busy at work and at home, and Redbook #'s have not been defined as significant.

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