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Politics : Politics for Pros- moderated

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To: LindyBill who wrote (94492)1/10/2005 5:49:53 AM
From: LindyBill  Read Replies (2) of 793824
 
Sound Politics is a computer type who has just been driving the King county voter's office nuts. No reporter in Seattle has even scratched the surface compared to him.

Bombshell: More King County Elections Bogosity

I finally figured out how King County came up with their announced "final" discrepancy of 1,217 more ballots than voters: they used a junky data file and they're off by over 600.

The file they distributed on Friday contained 1,003 duplicate records, 636 of which were people who were recorded as voting on Nov. 2.

The real discrepancy is therefore closer to 1,800 (not including the 348 illegally cast provisional ballots). Here are the actual numbers:
Voters


Ballots
Records in File 897,107 Manual Recount
Canvass Total 899,199
Duplicates (636) Illegal Provisional Ballots (348)
Cancelled Voters 253
Address Confidentiality Program 69
Federal Absentee 251
Total Known Voters 897,044 Total Ballots Believed Legitimate 898,851
[The "Cancelled Voters" are people who voted on Nov. 2 and then were removed from the database subsequent to the election. Presumably, these are people who moved out of King County or passed away. But who knows. I discovered these by comparing the latest file against the previous versions]

All of the above gives us a net discrepancy of unexplained ballots = 1,807.

If you take out the number duplicate records, you get to 1,171, which is close enough to 1,217, that I can believe that there would have been another as yet untold story to explain the remaining discrepancy of 46.

But this all looks pretty funky. I hope they will at least announce that they made this mistake and revise their number to 1,800(+/-). Unless of course there are other bizarre errors that I haven't figured out yet. Which there may well be. I've been seeing indications that the bad news for King County Elections is only going to get worse in the next few days.

soundpolitics.com
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