SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
To: puborectalis who wrote (960683)9/1/2016 11:44:22 PM
From: i-node1 Recommendation

Recommended By
FJB

  Read Replies (3) of 1575717
 
I know probability is well beyond your ability. But follow me on this.

Trump is just shy of 30% as of today in 538's "polls plus" model.

30% is not nothing. It still means that in 3 out of 10 trials, Trump becomes president.

Importantly, these polls are changing and that probability from 538 has about doubled in the last couple of weeks. Meanwhile, Hillary has done a thing. She hasn't spoken on the issues. She hasn't held a press conference. She hasn't presented any new ideas. She is, in a very real sense, just trying to run out the clock before she collapses from exhaustion, is caught in more lies or worse, or stumbles badly in a debate.

Next Wednesday she and Trump will sit down together and be questioned. It will be interesting. A screwup on Trump's end could end the race for him. Same thing with her.

The three, now four, "debates", are going to control the outcome and her 70% could easily turn to 40% overnight. So could his.
Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News