(fa) Super Bowl Coca Cola Promo Card MATH: Model 2
-------------------------- 200,000 cards distributed ---------------------------------- ---------------------------------- Model based on Certain Assumptions (listed below) ---------------------- ---------------------------- assume 25% activated
50,000 --------------------------------- -------------------------------- 80% buy through of 3 cd's= 40,000*3
120,000 cd's, 40,000 shipments
$1.00 margin cd sales, $1.00 margin shipping (25%)
$120,000 cd sales + $40,000 shipping sales
$160,000 sub-total ----------------- -----------------
10% buy through of 2 cd's= 5,000*2
10,000 cd's, 5,000 shipments
$1.00 margin cd sales, $0.75margin shipping
$10,000 cd sales + $3,500 shipping sales -----------------
$13,500 sub-total ---------------- ----------------
10% buy through of 1 cd= 5,000 * 1
5,000 cd's, 5,000 shipments
$1.00 margin cd sales, $0.50 margin shipping
$5,000 cd sales + $2,500 shipping sales -------------------
$7,500 sub-total
------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------
50% of the 80% of 3 buy throughs reload
25,000 reloads = $250,000 card sales 12.5% of reloads from total distribution
$125,000 coke $112,500 tsig $12,500 National Music Foundation
--------------------------
Sub-totals cd sales/shipping
$181,000
Sales from card reloads
$112,500 ------------------- ------------------- Total tsig
$293,500
------------------- ----------------- Revenues from advertising (hypothetical numbers)
Cost of card= $0.25 Price of card to coke = $0.50
margin = $0,25
income = 0.25 * 200,000 = $50,000 ---------------------- ----------------------
Grand Total=
$293,500 + $50,000 = $343,500.00
Cost of advertising = $0.00
----------------- ------------------ No additional sales from the reloads factored into this model ------------------ ---------------------
Model also doesn't account for any "viral impact" ie. promo card recepients telling other non-recepients about the site and its value.
----------------------- -----------------------
Assumptions
only 25% card activation only 12.5% card reload
$1.00 margin cd's 20% margin shipping
Card Production cost = 0.25 Card Mark- up 1 time Card margins = 0.25
Conservative assumptions? Conservative numbers? Alternative numbers and assumptions?
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