3G Or Not 3G, That Is The Question By Michael Bartlett, Newsbytes individual.com
BEVERLY HILLS, CALIFORNIA
Take care to separate reality from the hype surrounding third-generation (3G) mobile communications systems.
That is the message from Martin Cooper, CEO of ArrayComm. Cooper has some familiarity with wireless communications. While at Motorola during the 1970s he earned the nickname, "father of the cellular phone" when he led the team that invented the device that is now popular across the world.
Cooper today spoke on a panel about the wireless economy on the final day of the IWireless World conference. Later, he told Newsbytes that, despite the hype over the long-anticipated arrival of 3G, the new technology is merely an incremental improvement over 2G, which is today's wireless Internet technology.
"For most of the world, the standard for wireless communication is GSM (global system for mobile communications). GSM was created by a committee and adopted by carriers," he explained. "In the United States, the industry selected the standards. The FCC (Federal Communications Commission) only provided the spectrum and the rules to keep different carriers from interfering with each other."
Other countries, especially Japan and parts of Northern Europe currently are ahead of the United States in adoption and implementation of wireless communication, but Cooper insisted this is a short-term situation.
"There appears to be confusion in the US, but the American public has many more choices when it comes to carriers. Some of these companies will survive, some will fail, but the bottom line is, the service provided by European and US cell phones is about the same."
Europe is ahead of the US in coverage, he said, and in certain services that have been widely adopted by European youngsters.
"Short messaging service (SMS) is very popular with young people in Europe, even though it is difficult to spell out messages using the telephone key pad," he said. "This is an example of an application that is used because someone finds them useful. The key is function."
According to Cooper, the principle difference between 2G, 3G and a third variation, 2.5G, is bit rate, or the speed at which signals are transmitted. He said the ability to carry data will be built-in on 3G, but must be added to 2G systems.
"2G transmits at 10 kilobits per second, while 3G is 2 megabits per second. However, 3G is a pipe that must be shared by everyone on the channel," he said. "In Japan, this is allocated at 64 kilobits per subscriber. With wireless, the more persons sharing, the less everyone gets."
Existing GSM systems can be upgraded to GPRS (general packet radio service), which allows data to be sent and received on the mobile telephone network, said Cooper.
"Theoretically, 2.5G has a greater data rate than 3G. But one problem is, when the data rate goes up, the range of the cell goes down. In a crowded city, where there are lots of cells, that is not a problem. But when you get out into the country, less cell range means less coverage," he said.
"It sounds like I am down on these things, but I am not," Cooper said. "I am down on the hype. 3G will not fulfill dreams of sending pictures and data over mobile networks."
The United States currently is in a "build out" phase, he said. Spectrum has been allocated to 2G, with some companies moving to 2.5G.
"There are seven carriers who offer essentially the same service. They will have to differentiate themselves from one another," he said. "There will not be 3G in the US for five years, maybe more. We do not need it, because 2.5G does pretty much what 3G does."
Japan has said it will be read for 3G this year, said Cooper, an idea he dismissed as more hype. Contrary to popular perception, he said, the wildly popular I-Mode, by NTT DoCoMo, is not 3G, it is Japan's version of 2G.
"I-Mode lets people sent low-resolution pictures, graphics, and Kenji, which is Japanese characters the user draws onto a touch screen," he said. "The pictures take a long time to download, sometimes a minute or two for a small picture. I- Mode is the 'Pong' of wireless Internet access," he added, referring to the first generation video game from the 1970s.
Japan will have 3G first, and Europe is building its 3G networks now, Cooper said. It is unlikely that either region will have 3G before 2003 or 2004, he added.
More information on IWireless World is available on the Web at iwirelessworld.com .
ArrayComm is online at arraycomm.com .
Reported by Newsbytes.com, newsbytes.com . |