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Technology Stocks : BEA Systems (BEAS) - Undiscovered Growth Stock

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To: Bob Zacks who wrote (989)1/4/2000 12:21:00 AM
From: Zelix  Read Replies (1) of 2477
 
Dain Rascher seems to be shy about raising the targets for BEAS (raised to $90, hence the surge) - even after acknowledging BEAS as the best idea for 2000.

cbs.marketwatch.com

Again, going by comparative valuation - if Commerce One is worth $275 (after 3/1 split), giving it a market cap of $20 billions, a company with no revenues in the B2B space - why not BEAS at $20 bil, with annual revenues of $600 mil this year. Despite the promise, CMRC is still a product in making, while BEAS is a product suite that is built and proven. I believe BEAS offers more real value to more B2B solutions. Hence this comparison with CMRC.

The target should be more closer to $130 (*150mil shares=$20 bil). Of course, the stock deserves another 2-1 split before their earnings (Feb 22nd, as per Yahoo). There is a good possibility that they'll beat the earnings again.

Again, I am not looking at any PEG/PE or any such ratios. I am attempting to use the same logic many of the learned analysts are using. After so many missed opportunities and predictions of Y2K doom, I am joining the bandwagon of the majority.

Cheers.

- Zelix
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