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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly?
MSFT 483.03+0.5%Dec 5 9:30 AM EST

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To: John F. Dowd who wrote (9902)8/1/1998 8:39:00 AM
From: John F. Dowd   of 74651
 
To All: In the words of the great prophet Yogi Berra"This is deja vu all over again". All these arguments including the reworked ramblings of Bork have been rehashed ad nauseum months ago and we saw it first right here on SI and the courts decided that DOJ et al. did not have a case. I thought this was an investing thread not a historical one. This case has been tried and lost by the government. This is not the reason for the stock market's and MSFT's recent wild gyrations. I would like to hear opinions on what it might be outside of this DOJ bull. Where is the uncertainty coming from regarding this explosive sector of the economy? If the software industry isn't that big an opportunity you would not see billion dollar corps. running to Congress to improve their position in it. Every radio/mag/TV ad has a www.com trailer on it so every Joe Blow will want to get on the net. Net TV a soon to be MSFT stronghold will grow like topsy. Convergence will put an OS in virtually every home and car in the US and Europe. Asia will catch up in due time except for Japan/Singapore most Asian nations are barely out of the agrarian stage.

Concerning other factors what are the alternative investments? CD's at 4-5%, T-Bills at 5%. 3% over inflation does not ring my bell and the present investing generation distrusting the Soc. Sec. System is pouring money into their own 401K's and IRA's with increasing determination. Are money managers going to take a fee for sitting on cash while industries like the net,medicine, communications etc. are exploding before their eyes?

The earnings of 80% of every stock I own (19 at last count) have met or beat analysts predictions yet the the response has been tepid. It appears that the market is catching its breath or about to be irrationally depressed but regarding the latter can anyone tell me why?

JFD
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