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Technology Stocks : RealNetworks (NASDAQ:RNWK)

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To: B. A. Marlow who wrote (3498)6/7/1999 7:46:00 AM
From: baitkiller  Read Replies (1) of 5843
 

Opinions on this article?????

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Thank you for using VectorVest

Stock Analysis of Go2net Inc.

Thank you for requesting an analysis of Go2net Inc. from VectorVest
ProGraphics. The ticker symbol for Go2net Inc. is GNET. GNET is traded
on the NASDAQ and options are available on this stock.

PRICE: GNET closed on 06/04/1999 at $99.94 per share.

VALUE: GNET has a Value of $17 per share. Value is the foundation
of the VectorVest system. It is a measure of what a stock is currently
worth. Value is based upon earnings, earnings growth rate, dividend
payments, dividend growth rate, and financial performance. Current
interest and inflation rates also play an important role in the computation
of Value. When interest and/or inflation rates decrease, Value goes up.
When interest rates and inflation increase, Value goes down. Sooner or
later a stock's Price and Value always converge.

RV (Relative Value): GNET has an RV of 0.53. On a scale of 0.00 to
2.00, an RV of 0.53 is poor. RV reflects the long-term price appreciation
potential of the stock compared to an alternative investment in AAA
Corporate Bonds. Stocks with RV ratings above 1.00 have attractive
upside potential. A stock will have an RV greater than 1.00 when its Value
is greater than Price, and its Relative Safety (see below) and forecasted
earnings growth rate are above average. In some cases, however, a
stock's RV will be above 1.00 even though its Value is well below Price.
This happens when a stock has an exemplary record of financial
performance and an above average earnings growth rate. In this case, the
stock is currently selling at a premium, and the investor is banking on
future earnings growth to drive the stock's price higher. This information
is very useful not only in knowing whether or not a stock has favorable
price appreciation potential, but it also solves the riddle of whether to
buy high growth, high P/E, or low growth, low P/E stocks.

We believe that RV ratings above 1.00 are required to consistently
achieve above average capital gains in the stock market.

RS (Relative Safety): GNET has an RS rating of 0.55. On a scale of
0.00 to 2.00, an RS of 0.55 is poor. VectorVest looks at safety from the
viewpoint of an equity investor (one who is buying stock of a company)
rather than that of a purchaser of debt (one who is lending money to the
company). From this perspective, consistency of financial and operating
performance, stock price appreciation history, and price volatility are the
key factors used in the evaluation of Relative Safety (RS). Debt to equity
ratio, capitalization, sales volume, business longevity and other factors
are also considered, but to a lesser degree.

VectorVest favors steady, predictable performers. All stocks are rated on
a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. A stock with an RS greater than 1.00 is safer and
more predictable than the average of all stocks. A stock with an RS less
than 1.00 is less predictable and riskier than the average stock.

RT (Relative Timing): GNET has an RT rating of 0.32. On a scale
of 0.00 to 2.00, an RT of 0.32 is very poor. RT is a fast, responsive,
short-term price trend indicator. It analyzes the direction, magnitude, and
dynamics of a stock's price behavior over the last 13 weeks; then reflects
and projects the short-term price performance of the stock. Once a stock's
Price has established a strong trend, it is expected to continue that trend
for the short-term. If the trend dissipates, RT will gravitate towards 1.00.
Should the price change dramatically, RT will notice the crucial turning
point. When warranted, it will explode from a Price low and dive from a
Price high.

All stocks are rated on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. If RT is above 1.00,the
stock's Price is in an uptrend. Below 1.00, the stock's Price is in a
downtrend.

VST-Vector (VST): GNET has a VST-Vector rating of 0.48. On a
scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an VST of 0.48 is very poor. VST-Vector solves the
dilemma of balancing Value, Safety and Timing. Stocks with high RV
values often have low RS values, or stocks withlow RV and RS values
have high RT's. How can we find the stocks with the best combinations
of Value, Safety, and Timing?

The classic vector formula (square root of the sum of the squares)
handles this problem. It combines a set of forces into a single indicator
for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. Stocks with the
highest VST-Vector have the best combinations of Value, Safety and
Timing. These are the ones to own for above average capital application.

GRT (Growth Rate): GNET has a GRT of 33 % per year. This is
excellent. GRT stands for forecasted Earnings Growth Rate in percent per
year. GRT is updated each week for every stock. Watch GRT trends very
carefully. If the GRT trend is up, the stock's Price will likely rise. If the
GRT trend is down, the stock's Price will increase more slowly, cease to
increase, or subsequently fall.

Recommendation (REC): GNET has a Sell recommendation. REC
reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working
together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe,
undervalued stocks which are rising in price, and to avoid or sell risky,
overvalued stocks which are falling in price.

VectorVest is tuned to give an "H" or "B" signal when a stock's price is
approximately 10% above a recent low, and an "S" signal when the
stock's price is approximately 10% below a recent high. High RV, RS
stocks are favored toward receiving "B" REC's, and sheltered from
receiving "S" RECs.

STOP-PRICE: GNET has a Stop-Price of 122.50 per share. This is
22.56 or 22.6% aboveits current closing Price. VectorVest analyzes over
6,000 stocks each day for Value, Safety and Timing, and calculates a
Stop-Price for each stock. These Stop-Prices are based upon 13 week
moving averages of closing prices, and are fine-tuned according to each
stock's fundamentals.

In the VectorVest system, a stock gets a "B" or an "H" recommendation if
its price is above its Stop-Price, and an "S" recommendation if its price is
below its Stop-Price.

DIV (Dividend): GNET does not pay a dividend. VectorVest
focuses on annual, regular, cash dividends indicated by the most recent
disbursement. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends,
etc., generally are not included in Dividend (DIV).

DY (Dividend Yield): GNET has a DY of 0 percent. This is above
the current market average of percent. DY equals 100 x (DIV/PRICE), and
is expressed as a percentage.

EY (Earnings Yield): GNET has an EY of 0.3%. This is above the
current market average of %. EY equals 100 x (EARNINGS PER
SHARE/PRICE), and is expressed as a percentage.

EPS (Earnings Per Share): GNET has an EPS of $0.3 per share.
EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. VectorVest
determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings
performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings
forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): GNET has a P/E ratio of 331.9.
This ratio is computed daily based upon Price and EPS. P/E = Price/EPS.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio): GNET has a GPE of 0.1. This ratio
suggests that This ratio suggests that GNETis overvalued. Growth to P/E
ratio is a popular measure of stock valuation which compares Earnings
Growth Rate (GRT) to Price Earnings ratio (P/E). A stock is considered to
be undervalued when GPE is greater than 1.00, and vice-versa. VectorVest
believes that RV is a much better indicator of long-term value. The RV of
0.53 for GNETis poor.

DS (Dividend Safety): GNET has a DS of 0. On a scale of 0 to 99,
a DS of 0 is poor. DS is defined as the assurance that regular cash
dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the
foreseeable future. Stocks with DS values above 50 on a scale of 0 to 99
areabove average in safety.

RISK (Dividend Risk): GNET does not pay a dividend. All stocks
in the VectorVest system that pay dividends are classified as having Low,
Medium or High Dividend Risk (RISK). Stocks with DS values above 50
are above average in safety. These stocks are classified as having LOW
or MEDIUM RISK. Stocks with DS values below 50 are below average in
safety and are classified as having HIGH Risk.

DG (Dividend Growth): GNET has a DG of 0 percent per year.
Dividend Growth is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's
historical financial performance and the board's current outlook on the
future use of funds.

YSG-VECTOR (Yield-Safety-Growth Vector): GNET
has a YSG-Vector of 0. On a scale of 0.00 to 2.00, an YSG-Vector rating of
0 is very poor. VectorVest combines Dividend YIELD, SAFETY and
GROWTH into a single parameter. YSG-Vector allows direct comparison
of all dividend paying stocks. Stocks with the highest YSG-Vector values
have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These
are the stocks to buy for above average current income and long-term
growth.

VOL(100)s: GNET traded 327600 shares on 06/04/1999.

AVG VOL(100)s: GNET has an Average Volume of 742138.
Average Volume is 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed
by VectorVest.

% VOL: GNET had a Volume change of -55.9% from its 50 day moving
average volume.

OPEN: GNET opened trading at $96.69 per share on 06/04/1999.

HIGH: GNET traded at a high of $100.00 per share on 06/04/1999.

LOW: GNET traded at a low of $96.50 per share on 06/04/1999.

CLOSE: GNET Closed trading at $99.94 per share on 06/04/1999.

% PRC: GNET showed a Price change of 3.3% from the prior day's
closing price.

INDUSTRY: GNEThas been assigned to the Internet (Svc Provider)
Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 190 Industry Groups and 50
Business Sectors.

GNET has well below average safety with well below average upside
potential. It reflects a stock which is likely to give well below average,
inconsistent returns over the long term.

The basic strategy of VectorVest is to buy low risk, high reward stocks.
We suggest that Prudent investors buy enough high Relative Value, high
Relative Safety stocks to keep the overall RV and RS ratings of their
portfolios above 1.00. As you do this, you'll find that your risk will go
down and your investment performance will improve. Not a bad
combination.

Thank you for your interest in VectorVest ProGraphics.



If you want to know more, then go to our features page
vectorvest.com. If you would like to try out the
program, then sign up for our trial subscription offer
vectorvest.com.

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