boston.com
From Boston Globe: Despite market cooling, CMGI still optimistic
Andover firm's access to cash, skill at picking Net prospects keep investors enthusiastic
By Steven Syre and Charles Stein, Globe Staff , 06/10/99
Air whistled out of Internet stocks a few weeks ago, and investors who have made money hand over fist began to wonder out loud whether the party was over.
It would be a sad turn of events for your neighborhood day trader. But what about a company whose entire business is based on the ability to fund and nurture young Web enterprises, often leading to an initial public stock offering? What about CMGI Inc., the Andover company that has 40 young Internet companies based in New England and around the country under its investment wing?
It's a question sure to come up in many discussions next week, when CMGI makes presentations to large investor conferences hosted by U.S. Bancorp Piper Jaffrey on Monday and Bear Stearns Co. on Tuesday.
Those investors will surely hear a version of the official CMGI line: a tougher, more discriminating Internet stock market will highlight the strength of the company's system.
CMGI has access to plenty of money and doesn't have to rush a young company onto the public market before its time or under difficult conditions. Its established skill at picking evolving Internet fields will stand out when the market no longer writes blank checks for young Web ventures.
Another plus: the CMGI portfolio's keiretsu-style business relationships interwoven among companies. In one case, Web site Ancestry.com got funding from CMGI and subsequently outsourced its site-hosting chores to fellow portfolio company NaviSite and used Adsmart, another CMGI-backed venture, to find advertising.
But most important to CMGI, the Internet itself no longer has anything to prove.
''We've never been more optimistic about the Internet business in general,'' said Bill White, CMGI's marketing director. ''We no longer think it's a decision about the Internet economy. It's about the economy.''
CMGI has had its share of wild success helping Internet companies go public. Its biggest score was the 80 percent of Lycos Inc. it purchased for $2 million in 1995. Now drastically reduced to about 20 percent by a 1996 IPO and subsequent stock sales, the stake is still worth more than $500 million.
CMGI has millions more to invest in new companies and reviews about 1,000 business plans every month. ''That says there's no shortage of quality companies,'' said White.
Investors will also see the IPO short list inside the CMGI investment portfolio, 14 companies considered candidates for public stock offerings over the next 24 months.
That list is an eclectic mix of Internet enterprises, including retailers, a business-to-business seller, marketing companies, and Web infrastructure providers.
Two of the companies have already filed papers to start the IPO process and brought blue-chip underwriters aboard to handle the offering. An offering of Chemdex Corp. shares will be managed by Morgan Stanley Dean Witter and Goldman Sachs will lead the IPO of Engage Technologies Inc.
Analysts like Ullas Naik of First Albany Corp. think both Chemdex and Engage Technologies have the potential to be hot IPOs. But two recent CMGI-related stock offerings, though higher than their initial price, have fallen steeply off their highs.
Silknet Software Inc. went public at 15 per share last month and soared to about 50 over its first weeks, but has since slipped back to 317/8.
Critical Path Corp. hit the market at 24 per share in March and rocketed to about 150 within two weeks. It finished yesterday at 483/4.
The softer Internet IPO market ''certainly has an impact and I think you're seeing a little of that in the [CMGI] stock price,'' said Naik. ''The demand for new Internet-related IPOs waned and that was reflected in CMGI's market capitalization.''
CMGI stock, which peaked at a split-adjusted 151 per share in April, recently dipped below 100. It has bounced back to finish yesterday at 1051/4.
Don't get the idea CMGI is turning into a value stock. The company has a market value of $9.8 billion, while the public shares of Internet companies it holds amounts to $1.7 billion. That means investors are putting a value of about $8 billion on CMGI's private investments under development and its ability to raise winners in the future.
Institutional investors who are CMGI fans aren't very worried about the recent price slide. ''Companies like CMGI have to be valued on what they will do over the next three to five years,'' said Fred Kobrick of Boston-based Kobrick funds. ''I think [the recent stock decline] is totally irrelevant to CMGI, even if it might buffer the stock price, because its mission is to bring out really great companies that will evolve into not just decent IPOs but another Lycos every two or three years,'' said Kobrick.
CMGI invests in new Net firms either as majority owners - typically reserving 20 percent of the stock as incentives for managers - or through a series of venture funds it oversees. The first two CMGI At-ventures funds each invested about $35 million of company money. The third fund raised $287 million, mostly from outside investors.
CMGI portfolio companies that could go public over the next two years run the full gamut of venture funds and majority interests.
They include:
Chemdex, which sells scientific supplies directly to labs. Naik and other analysts consider it a model of Web business-to-business ventures.
Engage, a marketing firm that can track preferences of individual Internet visitors for clients.
MotherNature.com, a high-profile retailer of natural health products.
Raging Bull, a popular financial information and bulletin board site.
Furniture.com, an on-line furniture retailer highlighted in this column last month.
Ancestry.com, a Web site that combs databases to help visitors track their geneology.
NaviSite, an outsourcing company that hosts Web sites. It attracted additional investments on Monday from Dell Computer Corp. and Microsoft Corp.
ICast, a broadcasting venture recently launched with former NBC Television Network president Neil Braun.
CMGI officials declined to discuss the prospects for individual investments, but said they had no doubt the stock market would welcome new firms as they mature.
''We think the IPO route will continue to be extremely available for quality companies that are ready,'' said CMGI's White.
The Red Herring
A place of her own: Karen Schwartzman, a former BankBoston Corp. spokeswoman who left the institutional world last fall for public relations agency Fleishman-Hillard, is working for herself now. Her Polaris Public Relations is up and running in Boston. |