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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 671.910.0%Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: bobby beara who wrote (16943)6/11/1999 5:49:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) of 99985
 
Bobby, gold is certainly short term oversold and due for a bounce. but it is hard to say when a lasting long term bottom may be reached; maybe Y2K concerns will manage to give it a more durable lift in the second half of the year. fact is that at the moment funds as well as small traders are near record net short the gold contract with commercial hedgers on the long side. this has usually been good for at least a short-covering rally lately. the fact that long term support was broken is very ominous though. check a long term chart, it looks horrible. if it rallies back to the 270's and turns back down from there, the breakout would be confirmed and much lower prices could potentially ensue. i'm close to throwing in the towel on gold, maybe that's what it needs to turn around...<g>

regards,

hb
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