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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 92.99+2.9%4:00 PM EST
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To: John Hunt who wrote (35209)6/11/1999 11:40:00 PM
From: Alex  Read Replies (2) of 116753
 
Power Struggle Erupts in Moscow

The latest reports from Moscow indicate to us that a major power struggle has erupted in Moscow. The orders issued to Russian troops clearly were not generated accidentally. It is equally clear that they were not generated by the Russian foreign ministry, unless Foreign Minister Ivanov is being totally duplicitous. Obviously, the Russian military has been bitterly angry at the Yeltsin government in general and at the handling of the Kosovo crisis by Viktor Chernomyrdin in particular. Someone ordered those troops to move. We believe it was the Russian military itself. If our interpretation is correct, then far more important things are happening than the occupation of Kosovo or even the deadlock between Russia and NATO. A power struggle has clearly broken out in Moscow, between the military – undoubtedly supported by hard-liners in the Duma, and the moderates – who have been in charge of Moscow's Kosovo policy. Now it is possible that Ivanov is simply lying when he expressed his bewilderment about Russian troop movements, but we think that the Russian military has asserted itself. Ever since Sunday night, when a Russian military representative was instrumental in disrupting talks between NATO and Serbian generals, the gap between the Russian defense community and the foreign policy makers seems to be growing. The truth will come in the next few hours. If Ivanov is in charge, Russian troops will withdraw. If he is not in charge, they will remain and even be reinforced. The question for this evening – where does Yeltsin play in all of this?
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