Eric,
"All Band, All Device, All the Time"
Where did you get this motto from? You've read too much into Bell's statements, IMO. The first time I read the multichannel news article in your link, I received the impression that Bell was agreeing with what I had stated, but upon some further scrutiny, I failed to see where he is willing to go with any broadband media, any speed, any device, all the time. Except for the inclusion of Excite's current dial-up subscriber base in a focused marketing campaign to move them over to the cable regime.
In fact, the article leaned expressly against what I was saying, save for the attempt to capitalize on the dialup stragglers in the Excite base.
He stated,
"What we're hoping is that over time we're moving more and more of our [Excite] users into what is now the narrow end [cable modem] of the funnel, because at the narrow end of the funnel we participate in more diversified revenue and very nice margin."
Note: bracketed [ ] inserts are mine.
It still appears to me to be NIH. Maybe you can point out where I'm missing the boat. Granted, the narrow part of the funnel obviates the need to pay another service organization for access, but if you ain't got it in a certain area, leasing it is the next best thing, and certainly better than nothing. And one should also keep in mind that the partners also extract a healthy pound of flesh as well. After the division of revenues, who knows?
But it goes beyond this. Cable is going to choke for some interim period if they absorb the numbers they're aspiring to. As a content service, ignoring the proprietary needs of the MSOs for a moment, ATHM needs robustness to the end user. Notwithstanding Bell's not being overly concerned about congestion factors going forward. What is that about?
How did you like the casual way around the congestion problem? By citing the backbone upgrade by T, they rationalize their way out of any future congestion? But the problem is not in the backbone or in the core. It's in the last black-coaxial mile, and in the RF channel plan at the head end.
Please enlighten me as to where Bell states, or even implies, that he would be amenable to riding over a Bell South flavor of PON or wireless.
In a later post you stated,
I wonder how much AOL gets in $/month for narrowband access after paying WCOM for the dialup network.
One must, at the same time, ask this very question of ATHM and their MSO Partners... and AT&T's Backbone Role, as well.
Regards, Frank Coluccio |