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Gold/Mining/Energy : Gold Price Monitor
GDXJ 99.85+6.2%Nov 24 4:00 PM EST

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To: Richard Mazzarella who wrote (35382)6/15/1999 9:06:00 AM
From: long-gone  Read Replies (1) of 116764
 
A Must Read
(prize quotes)
Perception Creates Economic Reality
By Andrew West

"A lot of what keeps some economies immune is the fact that people think they're immune. Believing makes it so. And that's very good."
- Paul Krugman, MIT Economist

A dangerous notion is currently gaining credence among global policy-makers: perception "creates" economic reality. This idea suggests that economic reality is mutable, floating only in the consciousness of the populace, and subject to its whims. In other words, weak economies with poor economic policies can miraculously flourish due to positive sentiment. (And strong economies with excellent policies can be wrecked by a lack of "faith".) The logical conclusion is that, if you can fool citizens and investors into feeling confident, then economic reality will conform to their delusion.

Bill Clinton recently called for lines of precautionary credit to help "countries with sound economies avoid financial instability". If a country has a "sound economy" one wonders how it could run into "financial instability". The modern explanation is that "irrational sentiment" combined with "hot money flows" somehow sends good economies to their doom. Clinton never seems to consider that investor perceptions might be correct and that IMF and government policy is wrong.

It is disturbing to witness government officials and trusted economic advisors increasingly wielding the "perception is reality" concept. In the same way that President Clinton deftly "manages" public opinion, policy-makers now use collaborators and aides to propagate untruths about basic economic reality.
capitalismmagazine.com
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