Interview Dr. Eric Schmidt
Dr. Eric Schmidt, Sun's chief technology officer, has been with Sun for 13 years. During that time, he notes, he has worked with Sybase (and Powersoft) in several capacities. "When Sun started, we recognized that we were going to have to work directly with software companies that were running on top of our platform. At that time, Sybase had better IBM connectivity and better database-query performance. So it was a natural fit. Sybase was the leading vendor in high-performance database-query applications, particularly in areas such as Wall Street. In the late eighties, Sun decided to focus on the securities industry, and we did that hand-in-hand with Sybase.
"Our relationship with Powersoft came much later. Powersoft is much more PC-centric in approach, but we were able to convince [Powersoft founder] Mitchell Kertzman and his team to focus on Unix as a viable server platform."
Today, Dr. Schmidt is heavily involved with Sun's Internet efforts, so we focused on the Internet in this interview.
SYBASE MAGAZINE: Sun is obviously a major participant in the Internet phenomenon. If you were talking to the CEO or the CIO of a company much less advanced in its use of network computing, what kind of advice would you give?
ERIC SCHMIDT: There's a tendency in our industry to say, "Here's the new thing; let's ignore the old thing." Customers can't do that. The most important thing to realize is that the Internet and in particular the Internet protocol [IP] will become a part of the computing environment information-technology companies offer to their customers. There will be cases where Web protocols and even Java will become part of the computing solution companies offer. The only question is how quickly this will happen. I believe that for companies with too many different computing platforms, early adoption of Java lowers costs and increases customer satisfaction, because it simplifies things.
Our Java strategy came out of discussions with chief information officers of our largest customers, many of which are also Sybase and Powersoft users. Their jobs have been likened to changing the nuts and bolts of an airplane while it's flying. They have to run the business and add technology at the same time.
They are doing this by putting in intranet front ends on top of existing applications. That's the big trend this year. I think next year you'll see much more consistent and coherent new applications in this area.
SM: It sounds as though your advice generally is to start with an intranet front end.
ES: Yes. A lot of executives are asking, "When should I start building an intranet?" My answer is, I'll bet that your key engineers have already started and they just haven't told you yet.
SM: We hear a lot about intranets. What about "extranets"?
ES: As far as I know, the term extranet was coined by Bob Metcalfe [developer of Ethernet]. Bob observed that companies were taking information that was on the intranet and projecting it outside into the public Internet. In most instances, companies had an existing database sitting somewhere in the company that was accessible only by a "wizard." Then, instead of requiring you to call this wizard, they put in a Web front end. This front end provides the essential answers that a database query would have asked, but in a very easy-to-use format. It could be a simple HTML form, for example.
So a customer somewhere in the world points her browser at this page and types in the appropriate numbers, and an answer appears. Examples of extranet applications are package tracking, inventory tracking, order status--ways of making customers feel like they have a closer connection to their suppliers. We think there is going to be a huge explosion in this type of application. Technically what you're doing is tunneling in HTML. You're letting HTML be visible outside of the company, and almost all firewalls allow HTML in and out.
To link intranets to the public Internet, you must do it securely. The only way we know of doing this is with digital signatures for authorized-user authentication.
SM: What's happening with the Web and the Internet is a true paradigm shift, rather than just the latest evolution of client/server computing?
ES: It certainly is a paradigm shift for the industry. The best analogy I can think of is the arrival of TCP/IP in its various forms inside companies. Think of it as a tornado. A tornado sweeps away everything in its path and is destructive. I think TCP/IP is destructive in that it's coming to existing client/server application users and forcing them to adapt quickly to the way in which TCP/IP networks link together. Companies such as Sybase are moving quickly to make their applications be fully TCP/IP- and Web-capable.
Every computer hardware and software company has an Internet strategy, but not all of these strategies can succeed. I think that the key differentiator for companies will be their use of TCP/IP as their underlying protocol.
SM: Could you discuss the role of middleware and the Internet?
ES: Middleware may be the last bastion of software that's not dominated by Microsoft, because middleware is a very broad area of powerful business applications that can improve business performance. I think we're going to see an explosion of Internet-based middleware. The underlying assumption here is that the rigid client/server paradigm--essentially the old mainframe model with a client that talks to the mainframe--is going out the window and being replaced by what is generally known as n-tier computing. In the n-tier computing model, the data is stored in the appropriate computer as opposed to the one you're constrained to have it in.
SM: Are there any limits on the number of these tiers?
ES: We're not aware of them. Eventually there are complexity limits. We have customers that are building n-tier networked computing. Think of n-tier networking as the next step in data warehousing. Data warehousing grew up because it was cheaper to put a copy of the data from the mainframe database into a format that was easily accessible to users who needed access to the data.
The next step is to have several such places, appropriate to users, where the data resides. Some data is very close to users, because the bandwidth is strained. Other data is shipped overnight, because most people don't need direct access to it during the day. This kind of flexibility lowers computing costs and gives people more choices to decide where the company data eventually goes. The downside of this is complexity. The world was a lot easier when there was only one computer.
SM: Metcalfe has indicated that he thinks the Net is going to come to a halt a couple of times before it matures. Do you believe that?
ES: He's raised a cry for action, and he's doing a great job in identifying the problems. I think the problems are solvable before the genuine brownouts occur. He points out that because of various technical and business reasons, there are times when network availability is seriously in question for certain parts of the week. And regardless of how fast people try to avert this, it's difficult for them to add enough capacity to overcome that problem.
There are two solutions. One is to give the network an infinite amount of capacity--more than you think it will need--and then the hiccups can be dealt with. That's roughly the equivalent of designing bridges. Bridges have enormous design tolerances to handle big winds and other shocks. That's why most of them don't fall down. It's the same argument: You overbuild.
The other approach, which I favor, is to work on the payment and scheduling algorithms so that they're more refined. And you do that by having protocols that can more accurately handle bandwidth and then charge the users of the bandwidth accordingly. The Internet cannot remain completely free for all users in the world for the next thirty years. It has underlying communications costs that someone's going to have to pay for. And as the number of people using the Internet increases, those costs will have to be allocated accurately.
SM: What about online commerce?
ES: Companies that are selling infrastructure are making money. Customers who are trying to offer services such as entertainment or information services have not yet shown a different model that's distinguishable, although many are trying. The debate is whether the right model is essentially a broadcast model or a subscription model.
SM: Which is more right?
ES: I think it's too early to tell. I am skeptical of the broadcast advertising models. I am much more comfortable with the narrowcasting models, which are very specific. I say that because I think the underlying needs are personal. The Web is like everyone having their own radio station. I think that's going to be the trend rather than mass homogenization.
SM: Sounds like one-to-one marketing. In fact, this issue has an article about this kind of marketing that mentions Broadvision.
ES: Broadvision is an example of a company that is building a back end to sell to various specific customers. This kind of technology remembers who you are. When you come back to a site, you are connected to the correct database solutions in the enterprise to build a long-term customer relationship. That approach is consistent with narrowcasting. Another example is Pointcast, which can customize things you receive. Even though they are simulating a broadcast model over the Net, in practice you can configure what you receive.
SM: What's the latest with Java?
ES: Well, first we announced at Java One last May a whole series of libraries. The momentum of Java has not slowed; what's happening now is that people are beginning to use it. I think the next big event will be shipment of Java-based network computers toward the end of this calendar year.
SM: Anything else you'd like to comment about?
ES: The Internet phenomenon isn't going to go away next year. We're in the beginning of a technological infrastructure revolution involving TCP/IP and other protocols. It will go on for ten to twenty years, becoming the dominant under-lying networking infrastructure that most of your readers will use for the rest of their professional lives. So getting on it early gives you an advantage in competitiveness down the road.
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