Fresh fodder (emphasis added):
Qwest says has no plans to alter bids
By Jessica Hall NEW YORK, June 15 (Reuters) - Qwest Communications International Inc. on Tuesday said it has no plans to alter the terms of its unsolicited bids to buy U S West Inc. and Frontier Corp. despite a harsh stock market reaction that cut the No. 4 long distance phone company's stock price by 22 percent. [hallelujah!] But without a major recovery in its stock or a sweetening of its offers for the two telecommunications companies, the chances of Qwest's bids succeeding are seen as slim, analysts said. [hallelujah!] The unexpectedly large drop in Qwest's (NASDAQ:QWST) stock price has eroded the initial financial advantage Qwest's bids were perceived to have over U S West's and Frontier's existing merger agreements with Global Crossing Ltd. (NASDAQ:GBLX). Yet, when asked if Qwest planned to sweeten the offers it unveiled on Sunday, Qwest spokesman Tyler Gronbach said "not at this time. We certainly think it's a simpler and clearer and superior proposal." Global Crossing is sticking with its current offers, too, sources familiar with the situation said. Global Crossing on Monday said its deals with U S West (NYSE:USW), a local phone company, and Frontier (NYSE:FRO), a local and long distance phone carrier, were superior to Qwest's proposals and it expects the deals to close as scheduled. [hallelujah!] Qwest said it had expected its stock to weaken somewhat on the news of its bids, but the extent of the drop was surprising. The company attributed some of the decline to general weakness in technology-related stocks on Monday. [take off them rose colored glasses, boys!] "Yesterday we got caught in the downdraft. We did not expect this large of a drop, but it was largely (due to) the day that was had on the market... The dust is kind of settling and people who are recognizing the strategy are getting back in the game," Gronbach said. [pardon my French, but bullshit!] Shares of Qwest gained 75 cents on Tuesday to $34.875 on Nasdaq, but the stock is still off 22 percent since the bids were unveiled. Global Crossing's stock also is down significantly -- about 21 percent -- since it announced the U S West deal in mid-may as investors frowned on the complex deal structure. On Tuesday its stock fell $2.125 to $48.31. U S West lost $1.875 to $56.125 and Frontier added 25 cents to $57.625. U S West and Frontier now will have a tough decision in weighing two offers that are financially similar but structurally very different. Both companies said they would review Qwest's proposal but declined further comment. Qwest's offer for U S West is currently valued at about $62.63 a share or $32.3 billion, compared to Global Crossing offer, now valued at $60.795 a share or $31.3 billion. Qwest's bid for Frontier is currently worth $63.06 a share or $11.4 billion or roughly equal to the Global Crossing deal. The boards of U S West and Frontier must deem Qwest's bids superior before they could entertain negotiations with the Denver-based long distance company. Without a strong rebound in Qwest's stock price, the boards are unlikely to select Qwest's proposals, analysts said. U S West would owe an $850 million break-up fee to Global Crossing if it terminated the deal. [hallelujah!] The growth potential of the bidders, both telecom upstarts building fiber optic phone and data networks, may play a role as the board weigh the bids, analysts said. In that regard, Qwest may have an advantage since it has more of a track record and a more developed business than its even younger rival Global Crossing, analysts said. [uh oh] Qwest, however, may have to work harder to sell its strategy. Some analysts said Qwest did not adequately explain its reasoning for the bids nor why it has departed from its previous focus on business customers to make a costly bid for U S West, which is primarily a residential phone company serving 14 states from Minnesota to Washington. [Agreed!] "Never do they say that 'This 180 degree change from our business-only strategy and this is why we need to do it,'" said Christine Heckart, an industry analyst with TeleChoice. "Let's have it laid out -- let's have the strategy. There's probably an excellent reason behind it -- but what is the reason? I'm tired of speculating," Heckart said. [!Agreed!] Investors were also unhappy about the prospect of U S West slowing Qwest's growth. U S West remains largely a stodgy local phone company with unionized employees, old infrastructure and a mediocre reputation for customer service, analysts said. [AGREED!] Frontier, meanwhile, has a national fiber optic network that was constructed by Qwest and lies along side Qwest's own network. Some analysts criticized Qwest for seeking to buy back assets -- for a much higher price -- that it sold to Frontier just a few years ago. [!AGREED!] One investor suggested Qwest's bid for Frontier was largely an offensive move to prevent Global Crossing, which has undersea fiber optic networks, from gaining a land-based network in the U.S. "But that's a lot of money just to screw over your rival," said one investor who declined to be named. [Hormones!]
Copyright 1999, Reuters News Service
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