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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy?

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To: PJ Strifas who wrote (27201)6/17/1999 9:34:00 AM
From: EPS  Read Replies (1) of 42771
 
Business Week: June 21, 1999 Cover Story: The Info Tech 100/Software

The Top of the Software Heap

(Figures are for most recent 12 months)

COMPANY PROSPECTS

MICROSOFT The No. 1 maker of operating systems and PC applications is still
the 800-pound gorilla. But watch out for the Justice Dept.
hunters.

ORACLE Maker of database software is betting that hosting software jobs
for companies will encourage them to use Oracle products while
paying a service fee to boot. But waylaid in March by earnings
shortfall because of execution, rather than strategy problems.

COMPUWARE Averaged 30% growth over the past five years. Consensus for
fiscal 2000 sees a 33% earnings jump. Provider of testing
software and services must avoid being hurt by Y2K-related
slowdown in corporate buying.

SAP Analysts expect the maker of software for big corporate jobs to
post only modest 1999 profit growth. But new products promise big
upside in 2000.

RATIONAL Wall Street forecasts a 29% earnings gain in fiscal 2000 for the
SOFTWARE maker of object-oriented software tools that help companies build
programs faster.

NINTENDO Kids say Nintendo 64 is ''da bomb''--meaning cool--and new game
Pokemon is huge. But the real payoff may be expanding the
technology into information appliances.

NOVELL Novell has bounced back on the strength of its powerful
networking software, which puts a company's entire network under
central control. Look for 20% sales growth this year--a far cry
from the 21% plunge between 1996 and 1998.

BMC Its software for maintaining heavy-duty computer systems is still
SOFTWARE a big seller, but BMC must cut its reliance on slow-growth
mainframe market.

DASSAULT Look for about 20% 1999 profit growth for the French maker of
SYSTEMES computer-aided design and manufacturing programs. Acquisitions of
Chrysler and Nissan by European carmakers push Dassault into U.S.
and Japan.

UNIGRAPHIC Analysts expect more profit gains from this design and
SOLUTIONS manufacturing software firm. Big growth areas: service
offerings and European demand

SALES SALES PROFITS
(MILLIONS) GROWTH (MILLIONS)

MICROSOFT $17,217.0 26.0% $6940.0

ORACLE 8,296.5 24.2 1,165.2

COMPUWARE 1,638.4 43.8 349.9

SAP 5,327.5 46.5 576.2

RATIONAL 411.8 32.6 59.2
SOFTWARE

NINTENDO 4,455.0 27.8 697.0

NOVELL 1,117.7 26.4 116.8

BMC 1,303.9 65.4 364.3
SOFTWARE

DASSAULT 510.7 51.6 108.6
SYSTEMES

UNIGRAPHIC 422.8 27.4 27.5
SOLUTIONS

Copyright 1999 The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. Any use is subject to (1) terms and conditions of this service and (2) rules stated under ''Read This First'' in the ''About Business Week'' area.

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