I just bought into ANCR as pure speculation. I figure there is a reasonable chance some company may buy them out for their patents or enineering.
Now, for my concerns which I post to the group for any technical insight. My main problem with Ancor is that they have, until about a year ago, focused almost entirely on Fibre Channel as a network connection, neglecting the storage side. This is beginning to change. Several of us have been preaching to them about exploiting the storage attachment side of Fibre Channel to leverage investments that will be made in this arena to sell switches. Lots of people will be buying Fibre Channel to as a disk attachment. Ancor should position the company to connect into that infrastructure.
This is in fact Fibre Channel's primary weapon against the competition. With ATM and Switched Ethernet you have to add expensive hardware in front of the disks before you can actually attach them to a network; or you have to add a server. Not so with Fibre Channel: the drives plug directly into the network. This part of the charm---you just keep adding disk after disk without paying a fortune for the hardware to connect it all together. Don't expect Sun to do this for you: their server sales are too lucrative. This network-attached storage approach scales well in both capacity and bandwidth since you can add a switch when necesssary to get the bandwidth.
Now, what clues one would have to see from companies like Brocade or Ancor if they were truly positioned to make big bucks? In my opinion, we should be seeing people writing system software which can exploiting FC. I am talking optimized TCP/IP drivers, device drivers, and file systems. Switch companies do not have to do all the labor, but they better be working closely with the pros hacking OS kernels.
FC can easily support *sustained* file system transfers of 100-150 Mb/s (bytes, not bits). I have done this myself. This will support full-motion video for say digital editing of motion pictures. I have seen plans for systems on the scale of 20 Gb/s.
Alternatively, stand in the way of Cisco and HP to duke it out with high-speed network connections, Ancor is going to be squashed. Just like the bug which gets caught in the slipstream of a fast moving car, there is nothing the insect can do to avoid impact with the windshield. Things would change in a hurry if a 3COM bought the technology. Then FC *might* have a chance against GE and ATM for high-bandwidth uplink and interconnect. This is also pure speculation. |