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Strategies & Market Trends : Treasury Bond Futures Trading
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To: John Pitera who wrote (246)6/17/1999 11:58:00 AM
From: Henry Volquardsen  Read Replies (1) of 288
 
It certainly looks like a good point at this stage. My own feeling is that the one hike will not be enough to slow the economy. If the economy stays strong coupled with global economic recovery we will see continued strong demand for capital. This will keep pressure on real rates of return and we could see a retest of those levels. An alternate scenario would see continued strength responded to with further Fed hawkishness. Today's Greenspan testimony while relatively mild in tone very clearly posited the notion that the economic recovery indicates the cuts last year our no longer needed. If that is a signal, which I believe it is, that a return to 5.50% ffs is possible then I believe we have not seen the last of 6% yields.
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