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Biotech / Medical : Guilford (GLFD) - Steadily Rising

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To: Dan Peer who wrote (24)3/18/1997 9:14:00 PM
From: SteveG   of 496
 
Dan-

Just checked in here, but didn't see an accurate response. The most obvious cause of this pullback, as you probably already know by now, is the planned offering of 3.25M dilutive secondary shares. If the green shoe is filled, this will be dilutive by almost 21%.

Alex brown's analyst Kevin Tang (one of the best biotech analysts around IMO, and GLFD is his #1 pick) has not yet readjusted his 12 month price target of $38 on the basis of the anticipated diluted EPS yet.

I think GLFD is a compelling company for the future, especially with their neuroprotective/neuroregenerative oral treatment (neuroimmunophillin - GPI-1046). It's potential with Parkinsons and Alzheimers patients is significant to watch for clinical results from.
My guess is that the stock is priced at a discount (to market close) on the offering, and may "langer" (think linger + languish) for awhile before interest in resurges.

-Steve
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