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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.03+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (17836)6/18/1999 7:37:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Read Replies (3) of 99985
 
>>>i hope Don's class one sell works for monday so i can fortify my new positioning somewhat<<<

Don will probably back this up, but his system is designed for trading ranges and technical breakout of consolidation patterns do not apply. i believe we are in that situation.

If you want to see a classic failed H&S pattern, look at the AXP chart, where the right shoulder did not even come back down to support and reversed up. I think bonds are way oversold and AG has made it clear about the rate hike and we have two or three already priced into the market. I think the LT rates can go back as low as 5.5%. Global pricing pressures will continue to keep a lid on it and the big oil spike was a one time thing.

From the sentiment and technical figures i listed several days ago, you can see bonds have been way oversold and now deserve a reaction the other way.

Who sezs history doesn't repeat itself, we got msft breaking out of a 6 week consolidation phase, just like last year in mid June -g-

Those who don't study the lessons of history get burned -g-

The XCI triangle gives a possible projection of prices about 15% higher from here, though many times 5ths out of triangles are cut off at the knees.

bwdik
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