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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 671.91

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Nov 14 4:00 PM EST

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To: HairBall who wrote (17953)	6/20/1999 11:09:00 AM
From: dclapp	Read Replies (1) of 99985

crude thinking: IF the levels of the indexes are the result of Net Money Flow In/Out And IF Margin Interest was at an all-time high during April when we hit all-time highs in the indexes.. Then we'll need greater dollar inflow OR (greater dollar inflow AND higher margin) to reach/exceed new highs the question then becomes, I guess, how much of the April high was margin debt related if we reach new highs driven, in large part, by huge margin debt, I would think the highs would be unsustainable in the short term and easy prey for the fabled big/smart money (the monster or angel in the closet, depending on your positions) damn I hate math.... ps - a couple neat links: A free Java and HTML implementation of the Island limit book: isld.com A site that offers probabilities of a user-entered option hitting the strike price: aantix.com Regards, Doug

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