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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 683.47+0.6%Nov 28 4:00 PM EST

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To: Amelia Carhartt who wrote (17987)6/20/1999 9:44:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
MSB, re: XAU, it is possible that the chart formation on the XAU is a bearish flag. if it breaks to the downside below it's most recent lows i would expect it to at least revisit it's lows in the high 40's. there is however an interesting divergence between the XAU and the price of gold, with the latter collapsing to new lows and the former holding up relatively well. perhaps this is a sign that gold will soon turn around; in any case i am long a few gold shares because of this divergence. i hold them in the longer term orientated part of my portfolio as a hedge against financial accidents and because they got so cheap i couldn't resist. if the XAU starts to follow the price of gold i will either hedge them or sell and wait for even cheaper prices to get back in.

regards,

hb
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