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Technology Stocks : RealNetworks (NASDAQ:RNWK)

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To: Boplicity who wrote (3642)	6/24/1999 1:53:00 AM
From: Cascade Berry	Read Replies (1) of 5843

Check this URL... stockcharts.com The 50 day moving average on the CRB is very close to rising above the 200 day moving average - for the first time since 1992 on the weekly chart. And the RSI is oversold and rising. It's a small planet - everybody needs resources to live, and there are more of us every day. You can't expect interests rates to drop forever, when commodity prices start to rise. And I believe they are. I'd like to buy some stocks too, but fighting the FED is hazardous to one's health, as history has amply demonstrated. There's been a lot of hype about rising productivity of the economy and how this is going to push us into a deflationary collapse, with a 3% long bond. I'm looking for a harder landing, around 7%. All these low prices have sown the seed for the next series of price increases - productive capacity in the resource sector taken off line. Oil and lumber are sky-high. Don't get me wrong - I've been in the deflation camp since 1996 - and the lowering rates have been good to my portfolio. I just like to be careful. Suddenly the consensus is " the Fed will only tighten once" - I don't think so. I guess I have a different utility curve than the day traders - I prefer small gains with high probabilities of success, rather than large gains with low probabilities of success. I remember 87. And several bear markets before that. And I did finally eliminate a conflict that was preventing my Quicktime 4 on the Mac from working properly - "WrapScreen". I also got the RealPlayer G2 going for a head to head test. In general the Quicktime had better video and audio quality on my cable modem than G2. And I understand that OSX can handle up to 1000 server streams (for free) compared to Realnetworks 500$ for a 40 stream license. So I'm not that impressed with RealNetworks competitive status on either the client or server end. I experienced no dropouts on the Quicktime with streamed realtime BBC and intermittent dropouts on the RealAudio player. Although neither products audio sounds wonderful, the RealAudio sounded "echoey" or "flangey" or something like that. At least on the Mac I sincerely believe that Quicktime is technically superior. And it has been adopted as the MPEG 4 standard, supposedly. Looking for buys - but not finding any. Cheers.

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