Subj: From Midas - I Smell A Rat !!!!!!!!!! Date: 6/25/99 9:23:04 PM Central Daylight Time From: lepatron@lemetropolecafe.com To: midasnh@AOL.COM
Le Metropole members,
I smell a rat!
The bond market cannot rally for diddly. 114 07 basis Sep futures has stopped several feeble rallies. Bond yields have soared to 6.15% - unthinkable by all just 6 months ago.
We have had a hush hush meeting of leading world banking officials in Philadelphia a couple of weeks ago and strong indications of massive redemptions at hedge fund biggies, Tiger and Soros. There were the rumors and a denial of an emergency Fed meeting all over the wire services followed by a stunning $20 billion intervention implemented to hold back the yen ( the old yen carry trade problem surfacing again ).
And the last two days the word is that two more hedge funds are in trouble; Ross Capital and Monroe Trout are the names that have surfaced. Monroe Trout was heavy sellers of German Bunds the past two days as that market has been hit very hard. It would appear that the de-leveraging process that David Tice and Charles Peabody have been telling you about in the Cafe for some time is exactly what is going on here.
Then today, the gold market was trading quietly when it dropped a quick $2 just as THE BOND MARKET was breaking after a failed rally. What happened? The XAU was steady as a rock. Well, I found it was a customer of Goldman Sachs that just happened to sell 50,000 oz. at the right time which set off stops.
Not the time and place to get into the whole program yet, but it feels more and more like part of that Goldman Sachs 1,000 tonne short position, that our sources tell us has been uncovered on the books, might be part of a Fed trading account. Goldman Sachs was a featured seller almost every day after the BOE auction. You are aware of that because we reported that info to you. Soon, we will lay out our comprehensive thesis of what we think is going on here. But, before you new Café members think I am a bit daft, here is article 354 from the Federal Reserve System book ( we will tell you soon, but you might want to look and see who is behind the Federal Reserve. Most people have no clue - I know because until recently I had no clue either ):
*354 "Transactions involving gold coin, bullion, and certificates"
"Every Federal reserve bank shall have the power to deal in gold coins and bullion at home or abroad, to make loans thereon,exchange Federal reserve notes for gold, gold coin, or gold certificates, and to contract for loans of gold coin or bullion, giving therefor, when necessary, acceptable security, including the hypothecation of United States bonds or other securities which Federal reserve banks are authorized to hold."
So the Fed has the right to trade the gold market.
Perhaps this makes the picture a bit more clear about the BOE sale and Goldman Sachs. The Fed knew about Long Term Capital Management way before it blew up. After all, LTCM had the Central Bank of Italy as investors as well as former Fed officials. That is probably why Alan Greenspan made his " central banks stand ready to lease gold in increasing quantities should the price rise" statement before two Congressional subcommittees on July 24 and July 30 of last year. He knew what lay on the horizon. After all he prides himself on that. His smoke signal statement was a clear one to the bullion boys. You can check the record, but gold cratered before LTCM blew up and after his statement.
It is now clear that problems were surfacing behind the scenes again a couple of months ago ( remember Peabody's unintended consequences as a result of the LTCM bailout and the 3 interest rate cuts ). Greenspan could not go to the same well again. So just as the price of gold is taking off this time and gold share prices are having their greatest surge in 6 years all over the world, our officialdom calls up the English Poodles to make their ridiculous gold sale announcement ( May 7 )- the first pre announcement like that in over 20 years. And then Alan Greenspan has the gall to tell the Joint Economic Committee in Congress the English did so as to not take advantage of the private market place. Thus by definition, he inferred that the central banks that have sold gold for the past 20 years and announced their sale weeks after it was completed all "took advantage of the market place" and in a sense were amoral.
We do think a big gold price rise is coming going into the auction, but the Fed's nervousness over the bond and stock markets may be a mitigating factor. Regardless, we are doing our due diligence to find out the truth about who is manipulating the gold market and why they are doing so.
Café members know that Long Term Capital Management sent us a letter and an affidavit and letter denying trading any gold. We are in the process of cordially responding to them and will ask for some SPECIFIC clarifications.
In the meantime and interestingly, we were bombed today by Café members that sent us this comment from The Gartman Letter - Friday, June 25, 1999. It is a renowned letter and read all over the world:
"Precious metals are firmer helped, of course, by rising interest rates but helped even more by reports that the major Wall Street firm long associated with a large short position in gold (Goldman Sachs... having apparently inherited that position from LTCM last year) may be in fact "the bid" to the BOE's offer when the latter auctions a goodly portion of its gold reserves next month. The BOE's auction has pressured the gold market and reports of this firm's intention to take all of the first 25 tonnes of gold, when it becomes more publicly understood, stands to push gold prices rather sharply higher. Goldman, according to our sources, has proven to be a formidible bid to the futures all week, making the rumours all the more readily understandable."
This is very strange. Many weeks ago Mr. Gartman "condemned GATA in his Gartman letter for conducting our investigation. Later he spoke of the 1,000 tonnes short position rumor that we have told you of, and did so acknowledging he was reporting what the market talk was even though Goldman Sachs is a several client subscriber to his newsletter.
So what gives? Where did he get his information about Goldman Sachs inheriting an LTCM gold position? That is what we said, yet we get abuse for saying the same thing he does.
Even though he condemns us, we thank Mr. Gartman for pointing out to the world what our inquiry about LTCM was all about in the first place.
One thing I promise you. The Cafe will be jumping this summer.
Le Metropole Cafe
All the best,
Bill Murphy Le Patron
|