SI has been so quiet lately--at least the threads where I hang out, so I will compress all my thoughts for the afternoon into one convenient post, hehhe.
First...Rick seems to be looking into PolyMASC to some degree--it may be the recent movement in Onyx that has him interested, don't know, but do a keyword search for that now and then. Of course, I habitually read all of Rick's posts--as well as about ten other folks--sometimes a few things even sink through this thick skull of mine. Will keep the vlts thread apprised if anything turns up.
As far as Valentis' prospects for success, well I've not been following the gene therapy thing long enough to be able to judge anything yet. As you may already know, my strategy is merely to throw a few darts at the very cheapest stocks in this area, then watch for developments. So far I've gotten diluted in a couple things, but I really need to follow this sector a few more years before I give up. I do intend to add to several of my positions later, if general market conditions drag this stuff down even more--Valentis is up at the top of the list for another 1000 shares, since I only have a "third" of a full position right now. Speaking of buying...I actually added 1500 ARIA just the other day bringing that one up to 5k shares. Occasionally I get a PM from, oops, promised not to reveal his name, but you can guess if you follow the company at all;-) Those are my two gene therapy type stocks, at the bottom of this message I'll drop off my watch list.
Regarding Gene Therapy in general: Just now I was reading in the Economist about the European backlash against genetically modified crops. Good lord! Imagine if folks started whining about genetically modified people (say, you modify a person, well, some cells at least, to prevent a person from dying of his cancer--oh no, we cant have that!)
But along those lines, I do think the safety issue is important to follow--if overblown. Just in the last few days I've been reading about antisense ODN's, the first generation of these last only a few minutes, clearly gene therapy is not going to make any Frankenstein monsters if the main problems are simply finding a vector which works, or the very short life of the agent etc etc, And nobody is tampering with germ cells. I suspect folks don't invest in this sector mainly because they don't understand it, fair enough.
That said, nice when you can shut the therapy off, or regulate it. Naturally I want to bring up Ariad's ARGENT once again--there are a couple of us who still have not given up on that one. Frankly, I think the whole damn thing with the toxic was a scam to keep the stock down. I've loaded up on warrants, even some at 5/64ths the other day, based on big news late in the summer or next fall. The meter is running however, and at these levels, why not just buy the stock.
Finally, I am starting to look closer at the more familiar names in Gene Therapy--Vical and Isis for instance. I'm certainly not swapping my current picks for these two yet--Isis looks risky and expensive (they even have debt--something I'm not used to seeing in my stocks). In a few days or so I'll have some comments for the Isis thread--not that they need or want my two cents, and as I suggested to them, you really want to take a look at biotechnav.com, I subscribed to the three month deal, some very good analysis in there I think.
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