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Biotech / Medical : XOMA. Bull or Bear?
XOMA 26.62+1.6%Dec 31 3:59 PM EST

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To: Robert K. who wrote (10544)6/27/1999 7:44:00 AM
From: BostonView  Read Replies (1) of 17367
 
Re: SUTRO's Research of XOMA

I thought it was a wonderful piece of equity research that finally puts a stake in the ground (yes, perhaps a conservative one) as to the commercial potential for Xoma's current pipeline.

There's been so little discussion here, or anywhere, about the business side of Xoma's science that I personally consider his work a sort of breakthrough...finally something I can sink my teeth into.

It will be interesting to see how things unfold over time, but I read his "Neuprex share" numbers for various indications to be cautiously conservative in scope. The $32 price target for XOMA reflect (only) 20x 2001 projected earnings of $1.62/sh on total revenues of $196 million. This seems a remarkably low percent use of Neuprex for the then three approved treatments (3% for sepsis/septic shock, 5% for trauma, and 75% for menning). Even still, he projects them growing to nearly a billion in revenue by 2003 as other indications gain approval, but with still very low share projections.

I'm glad Melnitchenko put some conservative numbers on the table. And I personally think he believes XOMA's potential to be far greater, but best to let this baby walk before it runs.

<<insert your disclaimers here>>

As for Raging Bull commentary, it's just good to have people discussing XOMA (in a positive light)!!

BV
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