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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 690.270.0%Dec 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (18613)6/27/1999 3:37:00 PM
From: Lee Lichterman III  Read Replies (2) of 99985
 
Excellent thoughts as usual. I have been fairly quiet myself as I believe the FOMC meeting is going to steer us no matter what so trying to second guess the Fed would be a wager rather than trading on TA etc. I have been trying to work out a few straddles as possibilities but think I may abandon those as I haven't found any that I like so far.

Still I can't help but to look at previous chart patterns in this void of real movement. As I scanned back to different time frames that resembled our recent market activity, I found a recurring pattern. Always we would seem to rally from here then it was less often but still often enough to note that we would fall off the cliff a month later. The best example and over lay I see right now is 1997. I figure we are currently at the equivelent of Sept 11th. Not sure what the Fed will say Wednesday to spur the next attack to the 11K range but then they might raise again in August or else someone big could miss earnings to finish us off. Maybe the street will just realize that we can't have these valuations with higher interest rates.

I don't know so I am just going ot hang out in the shadows until the smoke clears and the short term direction decides where it is going.

Good Luck,

Lee
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