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Technology Stocks : Cybermedia (CYBR)
CYBR 512.28+1.6%3:59 PM EST

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To: Brendon Woirhaye who wrote (32)3/20/1997 10:26:00 AM
From: Tim Oliver   of 306
 
Brendon,

The battle that Cybermedia is in must ultimately be won at the OEM
level. Just imagine if Microsoft only sold Windows at the retail level.
That's great for gaining a little "mindshare", but Microsoft won by
getting their product on over 80% of the PCs shipping.

Think about the numbers too. Cybermedia has been able to sell
about 2 million retail units out of the over 100 million PCs sold in
the past couple of years. If the product retails for $39, then they
probably sold it for less than half of that to their distributors or for
say $20 per unit. Then consider the costs of packaging and the
huge amount of advertising that goes into retail.

If Cybermedia sells 2 million retail units at $20 each, they gross
$40 million and their net will be much less.

Now, if they capture 50% of the OEM market when the same
100 million PCs are sold and they make only $2 per unit, they make
$50 million gross, and their packaging and advertising costs are
much less.

So, while the unit revenue is smaller, the OEM business is at least
as profitable if you have a product that is actually worth something.
In reality though, if a competitor had a product that was only
"adequate" and managed to get 60% of the OEM market while
Cybermedia only had 10%, its likely that Cybermedia would lose
tons of retail business anyway. If I had a product that came bundled
with my PC that solved 80% of the both perceived and real problems
that Cybermedia did, there's a much lower chance that I'll go out
and pay $39 for a Cybermedia package too.

Cybermedia was smart to build an alliance with Phoenix Technologies
targeted at the OEM market. Phoenix (PTEC) will own 50+% of the
OEM BIOS market this year and is bundling and co-developing
powerful BIOS-based tools with Cybermedia. There's no reason
for them to give away the product like SYSF has, simply because
there is real value in a proven product integrated with the core
system software (in the OEM version).
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