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New Straits Times Press (NSTP) Interactive, June 24, 1999
Habibie Says Indonesia's Economy Is Leaving Its Rockbottom Level
JAKARTA, June 24 (AFP) - Indonesian President B.J. Habibie said Thursday the economy was over the worst and on the path of recovery, but warned that political stability held the key to continued growth.
"After about one year, steps taken to restore the economy have shown indications that (it) ... has risen from its lowest point and has begun to improve," Habibie told a meeting of importers.
He cited positive quarter-on-quarter Gross Domestic Product growth in the three months to March, a strengthening of the rupiah to below the 7,000 to the dollar level, and negative inflation for the past three months.
"With the stable and improving rupiah and reined in inflation, gradually bank interest rates will be able to be lowered so that by the end of the year the rate is expected to be below 20 percent," Habibie said.
Top economic minister Ginanjar Kartasasmita also said Thursday that he believed interest rates could fall to below 20 percent as early as next week.
"The interest rate next week can reach below 20 percent and I think in July it will just even lower," Ginanjar said before attending a cabinet meeting.
But he added that interest rates should not be lowered too fast, warning: "If it goes down to fast, people will then shift to speculating in dollars or goods,"
Central Bank Indonesia Governor Sjahril Sabirin said separately that he expected the Indonesian Consumer Price Index (CPI) to be lower or unchanged in June compared to May, when it fell 0.28 percent month on month.
"I haven't seen any figures yet but I have heard that there is a possibility it (inflation this month) will be like last month again -- it may be negative or close to zero."
Habibie also said domestic consumption had begun to recover and success in restructurizing the banking sector will spur growth in other sectors such as trade, industry, property, transport and telecommunications.
The improving economy would also spur more exports and imports, he said.
"We have to continue to make efforts so that our imports are mainly to support productive activities and not consumptive ones," Habibie warned.
He said the economic improvements were the results of economic policies that were compatible with political policies.
The largely peaceful June 7 parliamentary elections had also sparked a positive reaction from the markets, he added.
He said political stability "should be maintained and even strengthened so that our economic recovery can proceed even faster."
"Therefore, on this occasion I would like to remind that political stability needs to be supported by a good and correct understanding of the process and stages of the agreed elections system in particular and of democratic values in general," he added.
Indonesians voted to elect 462 parliamentarian representatives on June 7.
The MPs will join 38 non-elected military representatives and 200 others representing the regions and non-political organisations to form the People's Consultative Assembly (MPR) which will select a new president in November.
"Let us completely trust he national leader selection process of our 700 representatives who will sit at the MPR," Habibie said.
Habibie also called on the people to remain patient in awating the final results of the June 7 general polls. The official tally has so far trickled in with only just over half of some 112 million expected votes counted.
"We hope, God willing and with the support of all the people, the political process as part of the democracy that we are currently going through can run smoothly so as to support economic recovery efforts," he said.
The polls, contested by 48 political parties, were the first since the downfall of former president Suharto who resigned in May of last year.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ Didistribusikan tgl. 28 Jun 1999 jam 07:43:06 GMT+1 oleh: Indonesia Daily News Online <IndoNews@indo-news.com> indo-news.com |