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Non-Tech : TD Waterhouse Group (TWE)

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To: James F. Hopkins who wrote (519)6/29/1999 8:51:00 AM
From: OldAIMGuy  Read Replies (1) of 1413
 
Hi JF,
<somewhat OT>
In '93 there was an IPO surge that took the number of issues on the NASDAQ from 4000 to 5000 in a 12 month period. The market went flat for 18 months afterwards as these stocks were absorbed and consolidated.

I have measured this very statistic since '82 and any time there's a net positive increase in the number of issues on the NYSE and NASDAQ of greater than 2% over a 13 week period it's bearish for the market.

For more than a year, there's been a small net reduction in the total number of issues available. The recent IPOs are not quite balancing the merger/acquisition activity. This has been long term bullish since 1982. Take a look at the graph named ZEAL (forth one down) at:
execpc.com
to see the spike in '93.

Best regards, Tom
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