Clinton Seeks Medicare Drug Coverage; Fight Looms (Update8)
Bloomberg News June 29, 1999, 5:52 p.m. ET
Clinton Seeks Medicare Drug Coverage; Fight Looms (Update8)
(Adds Shah quote in 14th paragraph.)
Washington, June 29 (Bloomberg) -- President Bill Clinton proposed a 10-year $118 billion plan designed to help the nation's elderly and disabled pay for prescription drugs, using private managers to bargain down prices.
''My plan will use competition and the best private sector practices to secure Medicare,'' Clinton said today. His proposal kicks off a battle in Congress ahead of next year's elections. Drugmakers have said a Medicare prescription benefit could be a step toward government price controls on prescription drugs.
The Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, which lobbies for major companies like Merck & Co., Pfizer Inc. and Bristol Myers Squibb Co., has said it prefers having private health insurers offer Medicare drug coverage. Expectations that lawmakers will oppose Clinton's plan boosted the Standard & Poor's index of drug stocks about 2.9 percent today.
''This is likely to be a political football,'' said Hemant Shah, an independent pharmaceutical analyst.
Clinton's Medicare proposal seeks to do three things: make the system more efficient and competitive, extend its solvency until 2027 by using savings measures and spending $794 billion of the federal budget surplus over the next decade, and update its benefits.
''Many of the drugs we now routinely use for heart disease and high blood pressure did not even exist in 1965, yet Medicare does not cover prescription drugs,'' said Clinton.
'Dismal Swamp'
Clinton aides sought to tamp down concerns about price controls. ''We have explicitly and categorically rejected price controls,'' said Gene Sperling, chairman of Clinton's National Economic Council. ''Presumably the drug companies are able to make sales to Blue Cross/Blue Shield and others at a profit. We just want to put Medicare on a level playing field.''
Analysts and congressional Republicans expressed skepticism that Clinton's Medicare overhaul plan will be enacted.
The plan is likely to ''quickly roll into the dismal swamp'' as Congress focuses on issues such as Social Security reform and tax cuts, said Ira Loss, senior vice president of Washington Analysis, an equities research firm specializing in U.S. regulations and legislation.
Republicans are smarting over the collapse earlier this year of a blue-ribbon Medicare reform panel; the group, chaired by Senator John Breaux, a Louisiana Democrat, disbanded after a failing to muster enough votes to adopt a Medicare plan that would have required health insurers to negotiate premiums with the government. The Breaux commission also wanted to provide prescription coverage, but only to the neediest recipients.
'Jerked the Rug'
''The president basically jerked the rug out from under that bipartisan group,'' Senate Majority Leader Trent Lott said today. ''We will take a look at what he's proposed now, but we think we have a good package that was recommended by the Medicare commission, and we hope the Finance Committee would consider that.''
Senator Phil Gramm, a Texas Republican, blasted Clinton's plan as ''embedded'' with ''government price controls'' and ''rationing of pharmaceuticals.'' Costs would balloon in the future and burden taxpayers, Gramm said. ''We're promising something that clearly people can't deliver.''
Others said common ground is possible. ''This should not be politics as usual,'' said Representative Bill Thomas, a California Republican. ''Republicans want to include prescriptions in Medicare. If the president truly wants competition, the Republicans find that a truly receptive solution.''
Inevitable?
The prescription drug benefit ''is going to be the single most important issue'' facing pharmaceutical stocks for two years, analyst Shah said. ''Any time you see an indication that the bill is going to die, the stocks are going to go up.''
Pfizer shares rose 3 13/16 to 104 7/8, Merck's rose 1 7/16 to 71 1/2 and Schering-Plough Corp.'s climbed 1 to 49 11/16.
Yet eventually ''some sort of a Medicare drug benefit passage is inevitable,'' Shah said.
Seniors on Medicare currently pay about $600 a year, on average, for prescription medication, Clinton aides said. Under his plan, Medicare recipients would have the option to pay $24 to $44 a month to get the U.S. government to reimburse them up to $2,500 for their prescriptions.
They would also see an average discount of about 10 percent on what they have been paying for the drugs as Medicare moves to take advantage of volume discounts from drug companies, said Chris Jennings, Clinton's deputy domestic policy adviser.
Bulk Rates
Currently, insurance companies use prescription benefit managers, or PBMs, to negotiate bulk rates and other discounts on drugs with pharmaceutical companies. Clinton envisions the same thing, on a smaller scale, for Medicare. The Health Care Financing Administration, the part of the Department of Health and Human Services that runs Medicare, wouldn't seek to negotiate Medicare-wide discounts, Sperling said.
Managed care providers and hospitals would also see competition heat up under the Clinton plan by setting defined Medicare benefits which fee-for-service or managed care operations could compete to provide. That competitive pricing could save the U.S. government $25 billion over 10 years, according to White House figures.
Many seniors joined managed care operations because they cover prescription drugs. Under Clinton's plan, fee-for-service providers and health maintenance organizations would be free to offer comparable services at competitive prices and Medicare beneficiaries could choose their plan.
Clinton's plan also would give beneficiaries 75 cents of every dollar they save in choosing lower cost plans that offer the same basic Medicare benefits but don't necessarily provide extra benefits.
'Mixed Bag'
The other 25 cents of those savings would go back to the federal government providing an estimated $8 billion in savings over 10 years, starting in 2003.
The plan would be a ''mixed bag'' for health maintenance organizations, said Barbara Dreyfuss, a health analyst for Prudential Securities. Drug coverage now is ''the single largest item that attracts people'' to stay in managed care, she said. Yet managed care companies that have pharmacy benefit managers ''obviously could get into Medicare drug benefits'' and boost profits, Dreyfuss said.
Merck, the largest U.S. drugmaker, and Rite Aid Corp., the No. 3 drugstore chain, run their own pharmacy benefit units. Express Scripts Inc. is one of the largest independent pharmacy benefit managers.
Medicare expansion is part of a larger battle over how to spend the $3.7 trillion budget surplus anticipated over the next 15 years. Clinton wants to pay off the national debt by 2015 and use money saved in interest payments to bolster Medicare and Social Security.
Clinton also is trying to re-energize his domestic agenda after an impeachment vote in the House of Representatives and more recently, the war in Yugoslavia.
Republicans control both houses of Congress, and they favor tax cuts. How big they will be, and who will receive them, will likely color any debate on Social Security or Medicare ahead of the 2000 congressional and presidential elections. And Republicans likely won't hand Clinton a domestic policy victory before next year's presidential elections, analysts say.
Even so, both parties have a stake in easing pressures on the Medicare system before the first of about 77 million baby boomers become eligible for coverage.
If Congress and the administration fail to act, Medicare costs would grow to 28 percent of the federal budget by 2030 from 12 percent now, according to estimates by a special congressional commission on Medicare. |