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Technology Stocks : Cymer (CYMI)
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To: Dennis J. who wrote (22338)6/30/1999 7:29:00 AM
From: orkrious  Read Replies (1) of 25960
 
Dennis, yes, my estimate of $200/share in 2 years is earnings driven. Akins projects the laser market at $750,000 in 2001. Their operating margin goal (which at the annual meeting he said) is 22%, which if all goes right they will reach in Q1, 2001. This should give them 2001 EPS (figure 35M shares) of $3.64

At a 50 PE (the lithography mkt will be hitting on all cylinders then and CYMI's earnings will be growing at 50%) gives a share price of 164 toward the middle of next year (in a good bull market stocks sell based on the following year's estimates). Even if this stock price is a little optimistic, $200 the following year should be a slam dunk.

Jay
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