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Strategies & Market Trends : Currencies and the Global Capital Markets

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To: Paul Berliner who wrote (1906)7/1/1999 2:12:00 PM
From: Henry Volquardsen  Read Replies (1) of 3536
 
I don't think the Fed is either stupid or crazy. The word that most easily springs to mind is devious. The switch to neutral has left the market in a bit of a quandry. We are getting an initial euphoria but there are already people who are pointing out that this by no means precludes the Fed from tightening at the next meeting. What this actually does is put a lot of uncertainty back into the market. You will now see a lot more volatility in the market as it has to focus more on each economic number to figure out what is next. There was 90% plus certainty on this last move. The Fed doesn't want that.

In addition I believe the Fed is already starting to manage expectations in the professional market. I have strong suspicions on where the rumour I referenced this morning is coming from.
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