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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis

SPY 662.72

+0.4%

Nov 19 4:00 PM EST

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To: Ken98 who wrote (19331)	7/3/1999 12:36:00 PM
From: Stephen	Read Replies (2) of 99985

Call me simple, but as I've stated previously, I'll play the July earnings momo, get out of longs for Aug/Sept .... then ... dependant upon what happened Aug/Sept ... maybe start nibbling again in Oct ... getting ready to pull out for Y2K drop after the small rebound ... then buy back just before year end. I'll be trading mostly .... but having some longs is fine ... as long as they are the right ones. Is it that simple ... no .... but you gotta have a plan ... even if it gets modified along the way !! Frankly ... its difficult being an investing bear ... but I find it too easy to be scared of this market. Its going to crash ... but like everyone, I just don't know when. Till then ... the only things that matter are the 3'E's - e-commerce, events & earnings ..... the 3'I's ... interest rates, interest rates & interest rates & the 3'L's, liquidity, liquidity & liquidity. I'm not going to fight the tape ... or the Fed or the possiblitity that people start liquidating assets for the millenium. Hey ... it may not be much of a plan ... but its the only one I've got !! Stephen

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