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Technology Stocks : INTEL TRADER

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To: John Harton who wrote (6224)7/4/1999 3:35:00 PM
From: MonsieurGonzo  Read Replies (2) of 11051
 
JH:" Reuters ? "

...total gamble, roll 'o the dice and all that (^_^)

RE:" OSX.X " ...doji evening star on the weekly chart causes me to be careful this sector, John; I'm not sure if the rig count has kept pace with the rise in CL99_ - Crude Oil Futures. If I had SLB HAL BHI SII etc. right now, I would be inclined to simply "hold".

Oil prices I expect to climax and then decay - at least, I hope it does {grin} Else, could be inflationary to PacRim -? I don't understand OIX.X/CL99_ and XAL.X - Airlines right now; one would think that XAL.X sector earnings would take a big hit as a result of oil price inflation, despite the fact that the U.S. carriers are stuffed with passengers -?

>What so you think of INTC hitting a new top prior to earnings ?

...I'm bullish on INTC for 2 weeks, John. I'm watching AMAT closely; it's either a breakout or, a climax before the entire SOX.X tanks. In the past, the TechSpaetzles tended to have huge, but isolated, climactic bursts during earnings churnings, then collapse (sometime in July?) QTR-3. I hold all 8 TechSpaetzles in my CORE; if I were to (trade) bet on one now, it would be DELL/GTW or, believe it or don't... AOL.

core structure, +40% ytd :

IBM MSFT INTC AMAT DELL SUNW CSCO AOL

T LU WCOM NOK DT BTY

WMT HD BBY TWX FDX

MRK PFE SGP AMGN BGEN

C STT MWD SCH EGRP

YTD activity: sold EMC+, NTT+, SWY-, WAG-, BRK.B-, CMB+, AOL+; added FDX; re-bought AOL; about 5% cash right now - looking for 1 more candidate (to make 30 stox) but in no rush.

recent Weekly-Trading: sold 90% WMT position @ +10% gain, "profit shares" remain along with DUK (did the same thing with DUK, +10% gain + 1 DRIP), now 65% cash. I've been using this (IRA) account to accumulate "free" shares in bellwethers SPY GE IBM T WMT MRK C DUK by long-scalping and/or DRIP dividend capture, using "rotation" a la TraderBerney. Considering F next -?

Day-Trading (gambling ;-) sold T for fractional gain; bought RTRSY stock on decline to 200d EMA; considering DELL or AOL next -? I have not been trading for awhile, so just coming back into the swing of things, John.

-Steve
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