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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club
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To: marc ultra who wrote (6638)7/7/1999 10:46:00 PM
From: Kirk ©  Read Replies (1) of 15132
 
I've commented before that there is much more bearishness in the market than the II survey shows. I think it is a long term indicator and many advisors are and were actually pulling money out. Hulbert said as much recently on CNBC (that they say they are bullish but have gone to a lower equity weighting). In other words, I don't think the bulls/(bulls+bears) ratio is as useful as it used to be as too many are using it and probably distorting the numbers.

To say it like an EE, the sampling error is too large as there is a continium of allocations to equities but the question to decide bull/bear is nearly digital.

cheers!
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