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Technology Stocks : Rambus (RMBS) - Eagle or Penguin
RMBS 92.35-0.4%3:59 PM EST

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To: unclewest who wrote (24338)7/8/1999 9:23:00 PM
From: kash johal  Read Replies (2) of 93625
 
Uncle,

Re: "shoot, i don't even like to talk about pc's. i am kinda dumb when it comes to pc's.
i would much rather talk about drams. after all, this is the rambus rdram thread right?
dataquests projected dram sales for the next few years is...

2000...$35.5 billion

2001...$60.1 billion

2002...$104.3 billion"

I suspect that your DRAM dollar numbers are way off. Or you had better by micron stock lickety-split!!!

Lets take this another way.

Lets say that RDRAM prices in late next year will match TODAYS SDRAM prices. Today 128M memory module goes for what.......say $75.

And lets assume 20M pcs/yr use 128Mb of RDRAM memory.

And lets say the royalty is 1.5%.

That works out to $100M in royalties.

Lets assume that profit is fully 50% of royalties that a profit of $50M.

Now thats how much profit per share????

Oh and no way are 20% of PCs and servers going to have RDRAM by end of next year.

Regards,

Kash

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