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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis
SPY 659.00+1.0%Nov 21 4:00 PM EST

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To: Haim R. Branisteanu who wrote (19837)7/11/1999 5:46:00 AM
From: Eddy Blinker  Read Replies (3) of 99985
 
Announcing termination of long term forecasts B&M Charts.

Haim,

When I picked on ECILF (ECIL) which was mentioned in your recommendations and run it through the network I knew that I could not lose out on a small gain.I sold on Thursday and went short after the news was released. So far it worked out fine.

At the same time the neuro network run about 10 other different stocks similar to the ECILF model we constructed. No joy. Indicating that the scanning criteria -which must include significant change in volume-does play a major role.In retrospect-and as mentioned in my previous post I expected favorable "news" to be released possible on Friday.It happened the following week.When you go back to your files you will notice that the volume was over a million on the 28th (when the "in the know of pending news" seem to have bought the stock.

Ref: 30 days forecasts

After the debacle we experienced with our most recent Nasdaq index forecast exactly executing the opposite as the forecast predicted namely a significant rise instead of the predicted drop we searched for answers but could only find one which would make sense as far as the network is concerned.

In our opinion presently and since the interest rise took place the market is out to challenge the law of gravity in speculative defiance mode.No neural network can cope with this development because it has no learned experience to fall back on. Consequently we consider present global indices to be out of whack in a dimension which will defy any meaningful 30 day neural forecast for the next 5 years ( excluding any significant market correction.) And if that occurs the network still needs about 5 years to realign to reality.

But all is not lost. Quite the contrary. Rolling with the punches B&M will from now on just switch to daily forecasts of individual stocks. Preferable those which are presently the selected targets of speculators, lunatics and cyber fanatics gambling on images and distorted facts.

Daily Yahoo forecasts if they are as good as the last ones we displayed at daytrader.cc should attract plenty of clickers and shift the MDA clock into higher gear.

Regards,

ED
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