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Non-Tech : Knight/Trimark Group, Inc.
KCG 20.000.0%Aug 17 5:00 PM EST

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To: dennis michael patterson who wrote (2173)7/11/1999 2:57:00 PM
From: Raymond James Norris  Read Replies (3) of 10027
 
Could explain things of late. I sold 4 days ago for a small loss. It looked like it wanted to go higher, but someone was selling into the strength. Now we know why.


I disagree. I think this is a trap before NITE breaks through $64. Here's why:

* The stock is still in a series of higher lows and higher highs. The last rally took the stock up to $60. We passed that when we hit $64. The last sell off took the stock down to $49. If the stock can turn around before $49 (probably around $55), we will have made confirmed the uptrend because the bears are getting weaker.

* The On Balance Volume is still at a new high despite the fact the stock is 27% off its high. Friday's volume was not as strong as last Thursday's Volume when the stock hit $60.

* The 20 Day moving Average, the best predictor of short term movements, is still below the stock price. In other words, the stock probably will find support at that average (around $55) and bounce off it to move up.

I've traded NITE before, back in March and April, and I know how it trades well. It always makes a strong move to shake out weak hands before the big upmove. For reference see, late March's dip to $24 (post split) before the double, and late April's dip to $35, before the double.

Conservatively Yours,
Raymond J. Norris
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