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Technology Stocks : Amkor Technology Inc (AMKR)
AMKR 40.42+0.1%Dec 19 3:59 PM EST

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To: Larry Grzemkowski who wrote (287)7/11/1999 4:32:00 PM
From: JZGalt  Read Replies (1) of 1056
 
Larry,

Not sure I said $14 was "fair value".

Here is how I calculate "values"...

12 months eps X 5 year eps growth rate / 1.4 = "cheap"

12 months eps X 5 year eps growth rate = "fair value"

12 months eps X 5 year eps growth rate X 1.4 = "overvalued"

12 months eps (forward) = $0.78
5 year eps growth - 25.5%

"cheap" = $14.20
"fair value" = $19.90 - which lines up with my high teens statement.
"overvalued" = $27.86

So if you see it open Monday at $28, you be sure to sell... OK? <grin>

The caveat is the analysts covering this stock aren't too smart, so you might get whipsawed a bit when 2nd quarter eps come out. They might drop 3rd quarter eps or growth rate which changes the targets.

----
Dave
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