Bill, You have made some good observations concerning MKTY and ERC.
I do own them both.
We might find an analogy with the computer industry, where distributive intelligence has taken over from central intelligence. There might be a little movement back to central intelligence as the internet evolves.
If we use the microprocessor, RAM memory and microcomputer development as a guide, it has taken about 25 years from the first microprocessors to our present situation. It has taken about 20 years from the first useful commercial microcomputers to our present situation, and the direction has been strongly distributive.
If this model is used, it should take about 25 years before the majority of homes generate their own power. The ultimate for home owners would be to produce electrical power from the sun to power electrolyzes, producing hydrogen for the fuel cell stack, and inverters to produce 60hz power. We might even move back to dc powered appliances. Ideally, the excess power generated in the south western states could be sold to the power grid if there is one.
Here is an interesting link: humboldt.edu
I would expect the common thread of this independent and distributed power production evolution will be hydrogen. Even the evolution towards huge capacity hard disks might indicate the time line for cost effective hydrogen storage. From 10 megabytes,(I think it cost about $2,000) IBM PC in 1981, to 14 Gigabytes in 1999 ( about $1,000). Over three orders of magnitude in increased storage capacity over about 20 years.
This strongly indicates the time line we can expect. Can we find the Intel, Compaq, Dell, Microsoft in this new industry? Bill Kirn |
