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Politics : Idea Of The Day

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To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (27513)7/16/1999 11:26:00 AM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (1) of 50167
 
Some important issues like SCH earnings.. and my comments on economic numbers of today...

<<Adding Capacity

Adding computers and people is crucial for Schwab, which has
had eight Web site crashes this year.
''They need to build the infrastructure to handle all these
new accounts,'' said Amar Mehta, analyst with CIBC Oppenheimer. >>

Who benefits from infrastructure? Naturally the leading stocks..

On inflation....
The reports are good today..

Now industrial production is increasing but the gap between capacity utilization and industrial production istead of converging is further diverging, now the little economy I know we should have this convergence in the industrial production and capacity utilization, this was one of the yard stick we use to measure old economy's infaltion earliest trends, the new paradigm even refutes some long established facts..! This was David Orr, Chief Capital Markets Economist in April of 99 when cap utilisation dropped from 80.3 to 80.1. This is his abervation before the .25 rate hike..

<< As far as Fed watchers go, we would point to another drop in Capacity Utilization, to 80.1 from 80.3 (Manufacturing, to 79.3 from 79.5). The consistent drop in that rate argues strongly against any Fed tightening. It indicates substantial slack in the "product" market, which has offset the tightness in the "labor" market. Until global overcapacity is reduced, the Fed can remain calm despite an ever lower unemployment rate. >>

Now in June we still have a similar problem.. a reduction in fatory use indicating a higher productivity hence inflationary pressure..

<<U.S. June Industrial Production Increases 0.2%; Factory Use Fell to 80.3% U.S. industrial production rose in June, the seventh month without a decline, led by U.S. demand for automobiles, computers and electricity. Capacity Utilization

The plant-use rate, which measures industrial capacity in
use, fell to 80.3 percent in June from 80.4 percent during May.
Analysts had expected a June reading of 80.4 percent. May was
previously reported as 80.5 percent.
>>

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