SEEK~MSFT=tracking stocks................More on why I love SEEK at these levels.....The solution: a tracking stock, which would pay or not pay dividends based on the performance of the Internet business. Investors, the logic goes, would quickly bid it through the ceiling, although for all intents and purposes it would still be part of the mother company. Analyst Powers estimated that Microsoft's Internet operations would have a stand-alone market value of about $50 billion.
Microsoft Hits Record On Expected Internet Equity
By Reuters, 07-16-99 19:08
SEATTLE (Reuters) - Microsoft Corp. stock surged 5 percent Friday to a record high on expectations the software giant will establish a separate tracking stock for its Web properties to cash in the Internet investment craze.
Microsoft declined to comment on a report the company might announce the new tracking stock at its annual meeting with financial analysts in Seattle next Thursday.
A company spokeswoman said only that a tracking stock is an idea Chief Financial Officer Greg Maffei and others have considered ''several times over the past couple of years.''
But analysts said they thought the new issue was likely as the company seeks to unlock the value of its massive investment in online properties and attract and retain new talent in the face of competition from high-flying Internet startups.
''It would give Microsoft some additional currency to go acquire new Internet properties,'' said Bill Epifanio of J.P. Morgan. ''It would also give them options on those tracking shares that would help them attract good talent.''
Microsoft ended up $5.06 at $99.44, pushing the company's market capitalization past an unprecedented $500 billion and propelling Chairman Bill Gates' stake to nearly $100 billion.
In addition to the tracking stock report, first published in The Wall Street Journal, Microsoft got a boost from a federal jury's decision to award Bristol Technology Inc. just $1 in the first antitrust trial against the company to reach a verdict.
Analysts also said they expected Microsoft to beat the consensus estimate by one to two cents a share when the company reports its fourth-quarter earnings Monday. Microsoft is expected to report earnings of 36 cents a share, compared with 25 cents a year earlier, according to First Call.
Microsoft executives long have complained the company's stock price does not reflect the full value of its Internet investments compared with ''pure play'' rivals like Yahoo! Inc.
While Microsoft's stock continues to provide a handsome return for investors, the company has seen a growing trickle of defections by middle managers lured by the potential riches of Internet startups.
The lack of an Internet-type stock currency also has been cited as one of the reasons the world's biggest software company has been unable to recruit a high-profile executive from outside the company to lead its online business since group Vice President Pete Higgins departed last year for an extended leave of absence.
''As they look out across the organization they realize they need some new blood at executive levels, but the executives they want really want to be running their own shops,'' said analyst Rob Enderle of Giga Information Group.
A tracking stock theoretically would trade at some multiple of the estimated $800 million in annual revenues from businesses including MSN Internet access and related content properties grouped under the msn.com portal site.
But the move would stop short of spinning off the properties into a separate company as advocated by some.
''My thought all along has been that what they should do is spin the thing off,'' said Scott McAdams, president of McAdams Wright Ragen, a Seattle brokerage.
''They're probably still of the mind that they can compete effectively as a very large organization and they're better off having all these things under one umbrella,'' he said. ''It's been the legacy of the company.''
Enderle questioned whether Microsoft was nimble enough to compete effectively in the rapidly consolidating Internet space, comparing the 24-year-old Redmond, Wash.-based company with lumbering giants like Hewlett-Packard Co. and International Business Machines Corp.
''They are not being thought leaders right now,'' he said. |