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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials

AMAT 268.66

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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (31487)	7/18/1999 2:07:00 PM
From: Don Lloyd	Read Replies (1) of 70976

Ray - (...There is no compelling economic reason that the civilian leaders in Beijing would have the least bit of interest in creating several years of chaos for the region...) Given that economic reality is rarely understood even in the developed world, this is of little comfort. The financial well being of the leaders of totalitarian regimes is an inherent side effect of political control, which is always enhanced by war, at least up to the point of defeat. With what is effectively a puppet regime in Washington, lacking will, credibility and capability, the PRC may well calculate that the time is ripe for forced re-unification, in a way not true for generations past and unlikely to remain true for long into the future. The only real restraining factor is the risk of Taiwan's own teeth being both sharp and effective, or at least lucky. Regards, Don

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