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Strategies & Market Trends : Asia Forum

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To: Hawkmoon who wrote (8885)7/21/1999 11:18:00 AM
From: Z268  Read Replies (1) of 9980
 
Ron,

"More of what I had in mind was a UN reinforcement of Taiwan, threatening to
overrule the Chinese and Russian vetoes in the security council, if necessary."

This would be seen as the ultimate provocative act by the hardliners in China. It would raise the "public" stakes, and may force the Chinese into some irrational face-saving action. The best course of action is to privately convey to the Chinese leadership that force is NOT an option.

IMHO, the sabre-rattling is going to get a lot worse before it gets better. This whole episode may have the effect of the two sides engaging in serious talks next time they sit down.

I would be much more worried if the response from China was a deafening silence.

Regards,
Steve Yeo
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