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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 693.87-0.2%Jan 13 4:00 PM EST

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To: Clint E. who wrote (22220)7/21/1999 12:16:00 PM
From: Clint E.  Read Replies (1) of 69720
 
Many, including myself, expected the DOW to break out of its tight trading range to the upside. Well, it didn't happen.

As far as the NAZ, In retrospect, it topped last Thursday. The Friday move was pretty much all MSFT and a few power plays(pmcs+vrts+lgto+merq+rfmd+qlgc). None of the Tech_Titans participated.

Extreme volatility comes at bottoms and at tops. Volatility increased in the last two days but yesterday drop was still too-orderly to be considered extreme(hint:not bottom yet). Just look at the intraday price action, not much movement in most stocks after the morning drop. Tech_Titans dropped on heavy volume. The two leading groups Semi+Telecom were hit hard. So did the Internet stocks, in anticipation of so-so earnings by AOL+AMZN.

A knee-jerk bounce is expected but if I were long, I would lighten up into any rally.

It is not all doom & gloom. Just a break.

I look for the NAZ to set a trading range low of 2612 and then move sideways.
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